McFarland: Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections | PFF

Fantasy News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

McFarland: Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings & Tiers

Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams inside linebacker Kenny Young (41) dives to make a flying tackle on Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Leonard Fournette (7) in the first quarter at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

It's time to set our Week 4 fantasy football lineups and identify our favorite DFS plays and fades.

Below you'll find tiers and rankings for every position, including analysis, implied point totals, betting spreads and more.

For adjustments after the timestamp below, check out PFF's weekly rankings and projections.

Last updated: 12:30 p.m., Oct. 3

Click here for more PFF tools:

Rankings & Projections | WR/CB Matchup Chart | NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards | NFL Player Props tool | NFL & NCAA Power Rankings


KEY:

  • SOS: PFF's Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.
  • OL Pass-Block Advantage (OL PBA): offensive-line pass blocking matchup; derived from the OL/DL Matchup tool (pass blocking advantage — the higher the number, the better the matchup for the offensive line, and vice versa).
  • OL Run-Block Advantage (OL RBA): offensive-line pass blocking matchup; derived from the OL/DL Matchup tool (run blocking advantage – the higher the number, the better the matchup for the offensive line, and vice versa).
  • WR/CB Matchup Advantage (WR/CB MU): wide receiver versus cornerback matchup; derived from the WR/CB Matchup tool (matchup advantage grade – the higher the grade, the better the matchup for the receiver, and vice versa).
  • TE Matchup Advantage (TE MU): tight end versus linebackers and safeties; derived from the TE Matchup tool (matchup advantage — the higher the number, the better the matchup for the tight end, and vice versa.
  • Projections: from PFF projections tool.
  • Injuries: Q = Questionable; D = Doubtful (typically removed from ranks on Saturday); GTD = game time decision

JUMP TO A POSITION RANKING:

QB | RB | WR | TE

QUARTERBACKS

Tier Rank Player Opponent Total Spread Implied Points QB SOS OL PBA PPR Injury Status
1 QB1 Josh Allen HST 47.0 -17.5 32.25 6.9 12 24.9
1 QB2 Patrick Mahomes @PHI 54.0 -7.0 30.50 3.1 20 24.1
2 QB3 Tom Brady @NE 49.5 -6.5 28.00 4.9 24 21.4
2 QB4 Lamar Jackson @DEN 44.5 -1.0 22.75 0.2 -19 22.1
2 QB5 Kyler Murray @LA 54.0 4.0 25.00 0.0 -31 19.5
3 QB6 Justin Herbert LV 51.5 -3.0 27.25 3.4 -15 20.6
3 QB7 Russell Wilson @SF 52.0 2.5 24.75 1.9 -13 20.5
3 QB8 Matthew Stafford ARZ 54.0 -4.0 29.00 2.3 -29 18.5
3 QB9 Dak Prescott CAR 51.5 -4.5 28.00 2.6 -22 19.2
4 QB10 Jalen Hurts KC 54.0 7.0 23.50 4.2 -3 17.8
4 QB11 Derek Carr @LAC 51.5 3.0 24.25 5.5 -18 19.3
4 QB12 Aaron Rodgers PIT 45.5 -6.5 26.00 3.0 -29 19.7
4 QB13 Joe Burrow JAX 46.0 -7.5 26.75 6.8 2 18.6
4 QB14 Sam Darnold @DAL 51.5 4.5 23.50 4.1 -11 17.4
4 QB15 Kirk Cousins CLV 51.5 1.0 25.25 1.0 -23 18.1
5 QB16 Justin Fields DET 41.5 -3.0 22.25 10.0 -23 18.6
5 QB17 Baker Mayfield @MIN 51.5 -1.0 26.25 1.4 19 20.1
5 QB18 Teddy Bridgewater BLT 44.5 1.0 21.75 4.2 15 16.8
5 QB19 Ryan Tannehill @NYJ 44.5 -6.0 25.25 6.3 -21 18.5
5 QB20 Taylor Heinicke @ATL 47.5 -2.0 24.75 4.0 16 16.9
5 QB21 Matt Ryan WAS 47.5 2.0 22.75 5.1 -44 18.3
5 QB22 Trevor Lawrence @CIN 46.0 7.5 19.25 2.7 11 14.3
5 QB23 Daniel Jones @NO 41.5 7.0 17.25 0.3 -22 17.0
6 QB24 Mac Jones TB 49.5 6.5 21.50 0.7 -15 15.0
6 QB25 Jared Goff @CHI 41.5 3.0 19.25 5.0 -32 14.0
6 QB26 Jacoby Brissett IND 42.5 -2.5 22.50 4.0 -23 18.1
6 QB27 Zach Wilson TEN 44.5 6.0 19.25 5.0 8 15.3
6 QB28 Ben Roethlisberger @GB 45.5 6.5 19.50 2.3 3 13.5
7 QB29 Jameis Winston NYG 41.5 -7.0 24.25 6.0 -3 15.7
7 QB30 Jimmy Garoppolo SEA 52.0 -2.5 27.25 3.8 6 15.4
7 QB31 Davis Mills @BUF 47.0 17.5 14.75 3.3 1 14.3
7 QB32 Carson Wentz @MIA 42.5 2.5 20.00 5.2 5 13.4
8 QB33 Nick Foles DET 41.5 -3.0 22.25 10.0 -23 0.8
8 QB34 Taysom Hill NYG 41.5 -7.0 24.25 6.0 -3 2.8
8 QB35 Trey Lance SEA 52.0 -2.5 27.25 3.8 6 1.6

Tier 1 – Typically, a quarterback favored by 16 points, as Josh Allen is, might risk a dud second half as their team runs the ball with a lead. However, that isn't the case with the Bills, who rank first in the NFL in passing rate when leading (66%). Allen also sports the top implied score, second-best QB SOS and sixth-highest OL PBA on the slate — making him the QB1 for Week 4.

Tier 1 – Patrick Mahomes has a bottom-half QB SOS, but the total, implied points and OL PBA metrics look great.

Tier 2 – Tom Brady is off to a blazing start (QB4, QB3, QB4) and lands a good but not great matchup against his old teacher in New England. He edges out the other elite rushing quarterbacks thanks to matchup advantages.

Tier 2 – The Ravens are flashing signals of a more pass-intense — or at least matchup-based — offense early in the season, which would be a boon for Lamar Jackson. He is currently fifth in scramble rate (7%) and laps the field in designed-rush attempts at 26% (plus 22% versus the NFL average). He draws the second-worst passing matchup, but the Broncos are reaping the rewards of a soft schedule. Jackson is questionable (back) but put in a full practice on Friday, and his rostership projection is at a low 2% on DraftKings, making him an excellent contrarian option in tournaments.

Tier 2 – Kyler Murray has two QB1 finishes and a QB14 on the season. He draws the worst QB SOS on the slate against the Rams. He finished as the QB15 in Week 13 against them in 2020, but he still managed three touchdown passes with a banged-up shoulder. Despite the matchup situation, Murray's legs and the high point total keep him from falling too far outside of the top three.

Tier 3Justin Herbert climbs into the top six for the first time in my 2021 ranks thanks to a juicy game total and implied points Monday night versus the Raiders. Herbert is one of the players I regret not rostering more in fantasy drafts because the Chargers' offense is flashing elite underlying signals as a pass-heavy team willing to maintain a high tempo.

Tier 3 – Russell Wilson, Matt Stafford and Dak Prescott round out the tier with big game totals and good-to-great implied points in less-than-ideal matchups.

Tier 4 – Derek Carr makes his first top-12 appearance after QB9, QB8 and QB11 finishes. The veteran has a top-12 appearance in seven out of his past eight starts dating back to Week 12 of 2020. In a top-three game total with the sixth-best QB SOS on the week, fireworks are likely coming.

Tier 5 – Ryan Tannehill drops from Tier 4 to Tier 5 with A.J. Brown and Julio Jones out for Week 4.

Tier 5 – Justin Fields is in a great bounce-back spot against the Lions, who provide the top-rated QB SOS matchup this week. Fields' 18% of designed rush attempts and 10% scramble rate provide an excellent foundation based on historical fantasy points.

RUNNING BACKS

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Tackle Lifes financial Challenges. Western Southern Financial Group.
Sponsor

Fantasy Featured Tools

  • Sort projected player stats and fantasy points by position, week, and category.

    Available with

    Edge
  • Available with

    Edge
  • PFF's Fantasy Football Expected Points tool is primarily used for identifying potential over and undervalued players.

    Available with

    Elite
  • Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity.

    Available with

    Edge
  • PFF’s Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.

    Available with

    Edge
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr