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Player prop bets to consider in Week 4

By Jeff Ratcliffe
Sep 28, 2019

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Aug 22, 2019; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots running back Sony Michel (26) carries the ball during the first half against the Carolina Panthers at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

Player prop bets are a great opportunity to start dabbling in the world of sports betting, especially if you’re someone who has played fantasy football. The transition is relatively easy because unlike picking games, you’re still evaluating individual player performance.

When it comes to player props, determining which bet to make can seem daunting. There are so many things to pick from, so how do you know what bets are good bets? That’s where we’re here to help. Each week, we take the player prop lines from BetMGM and break down the best props on the board. We do so by comparing the line to our projections here at PFF. Bets are listed by quality with five stars as the best bets.

Keep in mind that only playing these bets isn’t a strategy for long-term success. You’ll also need to do some work on your own to identify the best plays of the week. That being said, this list will get you off to a good start.

Want to get in on the action at BetMGM? Sign up now.

Last week’s results: 11 wins, 3 losses (78.6%)
2019 results: 38 wins, 24 losses (61.3%)

Sterling Shepard, Receiving Yards 59.5 (-112) — UNDER ★★★★

Folks are going to be high on this Giants passing game after last week, but we aren’t taking the cheese. Ours numbers have the Giants offense coming back to earth a bit this week and project Shepard at 56.2 receiving yards on 4.6 catches.

Sony Michel, Rushing Yards 48.5 (-118) — OVER ★★★★

Really? After last week’s performance? Yes. Gamescript should yet again be favorable for another healthy dose of Michel. In his last meeting against the Bills, Michel racked up 116 rushing yards on 18 carries.

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