Fantasy News & Analysis

NFL Week 11 Fantasy Football Recap: New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) hands the ball off to running back Damien Harris (37) during the first half of a game against the New York Jets at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

Damien Harris: 8 carries, 65 yards, 2 receptions, 28 receiving yards

Rhamondre Stevenson: 15 carries, 26 yards, 6 receptions, 56 receiving yards

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Damien Harris starts for the Patriots: Harris missed the Patriots’ last game with an illness and missed a game in October with a hamstring injury, but he seemed back to his normal self in this game.

  • He played every snap on the first drive.
  • He averaged eight yards per carry, making it his first game over four yards per carry since Week 4.
  • The Patriots rotated by drive, but Rhamondre Stevenson always played on third-and-long.
  • New England was also OK with Stevenson staying in for every play even if a drive went long, whereas Stevenson would give Harris a break on early downs if Harris was in for a long drive.
  • Stevenson is a buy-low candidate after this game, as he will still see many more snaps than Harris despite having the “backup” role, and his rushing efficiency will be better than it was in this game.

Nelson Agholor re-emerges for the Patriots: Agholor’s playing time has been on the rise in the past month.

  • He finished second on the team in offensive snaps and routes run, despite a fully active wide receiver corps around him.
  • DeVante Parker was questionable for the game, which likely led to the Patriots limiting his snaps. He didn’t play at all in the second quarter.
  • Even if Parker returns to being a starter, Agholor is playing clearly ahead of both Kendrick Bourne and Tyquan Thornton at this point.
  • Chances are Agholor will only make it harder for other receivers to be fantasy-relevant rather than him becoming a fantasy starter again.

Buy low on Michael Carter: The Jets’ run game was non-existent against the Patriots, but New York has some upcoming matchups that could make their run game relevant again. 

  • The Patriots, their Week 11 opponent, entered the day having allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs.
  • New York has the easiest schedule for running backs during the fantasy playoffs.
  • They play the Lions, Jaguars and Seahawks during Weeks 15-17. All three have been below average against fantasy running backs, with the Lions and Seahawks among the bottom eight teams.
  • The game script in at least two of those games should be ones where New York can continue to run throughout the game.
  • The Jets are currently in a three-man committee with Ty Johnson playing in some passing situations, but they won’t prevent Carter from getting his touches.
  • James Robinson could also be someone to buy low, as he will also get his carries and does have a revenge game in the fantasy playoffs. There is a chance some fantasy managers will drop Robinson after today, so you might not need to trade for him.

Table Notes

Snaps include plays called back due to penalties, including offensive holding or defensive pass interference. The other three stats have these plays removed.

Targets may differ from official NFL sources. The most likely discrepancy would be from a clear thrown-away pass, where the NFL may give the target to the nearest receiver, while this data will not.

Carries are only on designed plays. Quarterback scrambles won’t count for the total number of carries in the game.


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