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Fantasy Football: Hunting Week 12's best NFL DFS stacks

Munich, Germany; Seattle Seahawks cornerback Coby Bryant (8) celebrates with fans in the second half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during an NFL International Series game at Allianz Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

  • Stack the Baltimore Ravens: While not extremely cheap, the Ravens are at the top of receiver/quarterback stack projections, with a higher chance of being the top stack than any other team.
  • Best RB-DST stack for Week 12: The Seattle Seahawks have a good chance of being the highest-scoring RB-DST stack at a moderate cost.
Estimated reading time: 8 minutes

This DFS main-slate stacks analysis is a variation of the methodology used in analyses on the single-game DraftKings showdown slates. It uses the combination of current projections, historical game results and similarity algorithms to simulate an upcoming game by looking back at the most similar historical matchups. In this analysis, I’m taking the same outline and applying it instead to the DFS main slate by projecting the likelihood each team’s QB-WR, RB-DST, QB-WR-TE, QB-RB-WR stacks will be the highest scoring of the slate. These are some of the most popular stack combinations employed in DFS strategy.

The numbers below harness the unexpected connections and reactions between players that have happened over the past several years and thereby point to under/overvalued stacks that won’t be identified through traditional projections and logical deduction.


QUARTERBACK/WIDE RECEIVER STACK

QB/WR players
Team Opponent Highest % Player Pos DK Fpts DK Salary FD Fpts FD Salary
BLT JAX 13.6 Lamar Jackson QB 23.2 8,000 21.9 8,200
BLT JAX 13.6 Devin Duvernay WR 9.6 4,700 7.6 5,600
KC LA 8.7 Patrick Mahomes QB 24.8 8,200 23.3 9,000
KC LA 8.7 Kadarius Toney WR 11.4 4,900 9.3 6,100
TEN CIN 7.6 Ryan Tannehill QB 18.4 5,400 17.5 7,100
TEN CIN 7.6 Robert Woods WR 10.0 4,700 7.8 5,700
MIA HST 6.7 Tua Tagovailoa QB 25.5 6,900 23.8 8,300
MIA HST 6.7 Tyreek Hill WR 25.4 8,800 20.2 9,200
SEA LV 6.1 Geno Smith QB 20.0 6,000 18.8 7,600
SEA LV 6.1 D.K. Metcalf WR 15.5 6,500 12.5 7,400
ARZ LAC 5.9 Kyler Murray QB 20.2 6,800 19.0 7,800
ARZ LAC 5.9 DeAndre Hopkins WR 15.3 7,700 11.9 8,400
CLV TB 5.8 Jacoby Brissett QB 19.1 5,400 17.7 6,900
CLV TB 5.8 Amari Cooper WR 14.7 6,400 11.6 7,800
ATL WAS 5.2 Marcus Mariota QB 16.7 5,500 15.8 7,000
ATL WAS 5.2 Drake London WR 11.7 4,900 9.2 6,100
LAC ARZ 5.1 Justin Herbert QB 20.4 7,000 19.1 7,900
LAC ARZ 5.1 Keenan Allen WR 14.4 6,100 11.0 7,300
LV SEA 4.9 Derek Carr QB 18.4 5,700 17.1 7,300
LV SEA 4.9 Davante Adams WR 18.8 8,600 14.7 9,000
JAX BLT 4.3 Trevor Lawrence QB 18.3 5,500 17.1 6,900
JAX BLT 4.3 Christian Kirk WR 14.2 6,500 11.3 7,700
CHI NYJ 4.0 Justin Fields QB 17.3 7,400 16.2 8,500
CHI NYJ 4.0 Darnell Mooney WR 9.7 5,100 7.7 6,100
CIN TEN 3.9 Joe Burrow QB 22.9 6,700 21.2 8,600
CIN TEN 3.9 Ja'Marr Chase WR 18.7 7,600 14.9 8,800
SF NO 3.9 Jimmy Garoppolo QB 18.5 5,600 17.4 6,800
SF NO 3.9 Deebo Samuel WR 14.5 6,800 12.0 6,900
DEN CAR 3.1 Russell Wilson QB 17.9 5,400 17.0 6,700
DEN CAR 3.1 Courtland Sutton WR 12.6 5,600 10.1 7,100
HST MIA 3.1 Kyle Allen QB 16.8 4,800 15.7 6,100
HST MIA 3.1 Brandin Cooks WR 13.5 5,200 10.6 6,400
WAS ATL 3.0 Taylor Heinicke QB 18.1 5,300 17.1 6,500
WAS ATL 3.0 Terry McLaurin WR 14.5 5,800 11.5 7,200
CAR DEN 2.0 Sam Darnold QB 15.8 4,900 14.9 6,400
CAR DEN 2.0 D.J. Moore WR 14.8 5,000 11.7 6,200
NYJ CHI 1.6 Mike White QB 16.9 4,900 15.8 6,200
NYJ CHI 1.6 Garrett Wilson WR 12.9 4,300 10.2 6,000
TB CLV 1.4 Tom Brady QB 22.5 5,800 20.7 7,400
TB CLV 1.4 Mike Evans WR 19.2 6,700 15.2 7,600
NO SF 0.5 Andy Dalton QB 15.8 5,300 14.9 6,700
NO SF 0.5 Chris Olave WR 12.7 6,600 10.2 7,300
LA KC 0.5 Bryce Perkins QB 16.0 5,000 15.2 6,600
LA KC 0.5 Allen Robinson II WR 10.6 5,500 8.3 6,800

RUNNING BACK/DST

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