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Erickson: NFL Divisional Round Saturday DFS Primer

Jan 3, 2021; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) throws a pass against the Miami Dolphins in the first quarter at Bills Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

In this week’s preview of the NFL Divisional Round, I'm breaking down each Saturday game from a DFS perspective.

I hit on some of my favorite DFS plays in PFF’s huge NFL Divisional Round preview and my DFS locks/fades piece, but there's plenty more to go over. 

I’ll call out my favorite DFS plays and game stacks. Stacking has been a tried-and-true approach to winning tournaments — if the right stack hits, then it’s an instant print fest.

I’ll also highlight key injury notes that could prove to be potential game-changers. 

LOS ANGELES RAMS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

It should be all about Aaron Jones in this matchup. The Packers running back has averaged just north of 17 touches per game since returning from injury, and we have seen this team lean hard on him in the postseason.

In the team’s first playoff game last season, Jones totaled 22 touches and played an 84% snap share. The matchup is less than ideal against a Rams defense that has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to RBs this season, but Chris Carson was decent enough against them last week. 

The Seahawks running back rushed 16 times for 77 yards but was unable to find the end zone.

As noted by PFF’s Ian Hartitz on the PFF Fantasy Football Podcast, the Rams have played the fewest snaps on defense with eight-plus defenders in the box. They sell out to stop the pass. Per Hartitz’s Mismatch Manifesto, just 21% of rush attempts against the Rams have faced boxes with eight-plus defenders — the lowest mark in the league by a full 8 percentage points.

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