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Betting value on season-long player props compared to fantasy projections

PFF recently released its first iteration of fantasy projections for the 2020 NFL season.  With the sporting world at a standstill, it provides us the opportunity to gauge how our season-long fantasy projections align with betting markets. Typically, we wouldn’t recommend tying up capital on opportunities that won’t be paid out for nine months, but desperate times call for desperate measures. Along with team win totals, these are some of the softest betting markets available as you avoid the week-to-week gyration of team and player-level performance. Using both FanDuel and Draftkings odds, let’s dive into our favorite season-long player prop bets.  

[Find a full collection of analysis and insights on PFF's 2020 fantasy football projections for all 32 NFL teamsCheck back as more articles will be added each day.]

Quarterback Props

Tom Brady Over 4,299.5 Passing Yards

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