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Best DFS stacks & blowup targets to target in Week 12 of the 2021 NFL season

Arlington, Texas, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (11) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys in the second quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

DFS success boils down to finding the highest-scoring fantasy football players at each position in a given week. With close to 20 playable options at quarterback and tight end, along with even more at the running back and wide receiver positions, it is a feat in itself to identify one position correctly.

To finish at the top of a DFS contest, you must hit on basically all skill positions and circumvent the randomness associated with selecting defenses. Doing all of this while also fitting under the confines of a salary cap makes DFS one of the most difficult setups to beat consistently, especially for large-field tournaments.

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One of the best ways to find value opportunities on a given slate is to start with the salary-adjusted expectation for all players. Because DraftKings has been around for over six years, we now have a worthwhile dataset of player salaries and their resulting fantasy performances. By figuring out the expectation based on each player’s salary and position, we can compare their salary-expected fantasy performance to PFF’s fantasy projections. Doing this highlights the best value plays based on salary.

Player Position Team DK Salary Salary Expectation Proj. Fantasy Pts Proj. Above Salary Expectation
Jared Cook TE LAC 3000 4.53 9.61 5.08
Saquon Barkley HB NYG 6300 14.36 18.49 4.13
Laviska Shenault Jr. WR JAX 4400 8.26 12.33 4.07
D.J. Moore WR CAR 6200 13.95 17.69 3.74
David Johnson HB HST 4500 8.67 12.41 3.74
Tee Higgins WR CIN 5400 11.42 15.15 3.73
Brandin Cooks WR HST 5800 12.68 16.34 3.66
Adam Shaheen TE MIA 2500 2.95 6.55 3.60
Mike Williams WR LAC 5700 12.37 15.83 3.46
Myles Gaskin HB MIA 5600 12.15 15.49 3.34
Tevin Coleman HB NYJ 4000 7.10 10.41 3.31
Zach Pascal WR IND 3500 5.42 8.63 3.21
Tyler Johnson WR TB 3900 6.69 9.83 3.14


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