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5 teams that should put up more fantasy production in 2017

HOUSTON, TX - OCTOBER 16: DeAndre Hopkins #10 of the Houston Texans and Lamar Miller #26 walk back to the bench after Miller scored against the Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium on October 16, 2016 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)

A week ago in this space, I looked at the five teams who had the biggest jump in year-over-year fantasy production from 2015 to 2016, looking for which offenses might be less productive in 2017. The obvious next step, then, is the corollary — which teams fell off by the most last year? Which teams might have more to offer in 2017 than in 2016?

(As a reminder, we’re only looking at offensive fantasy production, so all references to teamwide fantasy points mean only quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end — no kicker or defense.)

The numbers

I’ll rerun the chart from last week — teams since 2006, sorted by their percent change in team fantasy scoring from Year 1 to Year 2, along with the change they went on to make in Year 3.

Change in team fantasy scoring
# of teams Third year Third year % change
Increase by 40+% 5 -46.8 -4.00%
Increase by 30-39.99% 19 -121.6 -11.18%
Increase by 20-29.99% 24 -86.2 -8.02%
Increase by 10-19.99% 34 -42.9 -4.01%
Increase by less than 10% 71 -0.9 -0.08%
Decrease by less than 10% 74 24.6 +2.52%
Decrease by 10-19.99% 41 98.5 +10.51%
Decrease by 20-29.99% 11 149.6 +17.71%
Decrease by 30+% 7 204.9 +28.00%

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