NFL News & Analysis

College Football Week 3 Top Player Props

Tampa, FL, USA; Brigham Young Cougars quarterback Jaren Hall (3) looks to pass during the first quarter against the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Bet BYU QB Jaren Hall at Oregon — Under 0.5 Interceptions (+135 Draftkings): At a heavy plus price, one of the best player prop bets Saturday.

• Minnesota WR Chris Autman-Bell vs. Colorado — Over 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns (+215 DraftKings): PFF projects Bell scoring a TD 35.6% of outcomes.

Georgia QB Stetson Bennett vs. South Carolina — Over 0.5 Interceptions (+175 DraftKings): Might not be overly likely, but we price closer to +130.

• New users who bet $10 or more at BetMGM will receive a free year’s subscription to PFF+ — a $79.99 value.

Using PFF’s college fantasy projections, below are the best player prop bets to make for the Saturday main slate.

BYU QB Jaren Hall at Oregon — Under 0.5 Interceptions (+135 Draftkings)

At a heavy plus price on DraftKings, Hall to maintain a clean game is one of the best player prop bets to make Saturday. BYU hopes to knock off its second straight top-25 opponent, after a thrilling OT victory against Baylor last week. Most of the Cougars' offensive success has been because of Hall’s dual-threat ability, but knocking off Baylor at home is an entirely different ask then going into Eugene and beating the Oregon Ducks.

• Oregon defense ranks 123rd in PFF’s opponent-adjusted coverage grade: Baylor ranks 33rd and still wasn’t able to turn an interception against Hall, who now should catch a break against the Ducks.

• Hall's turnover-worthy play rate: It's slightly inflated after throwing two picks in their Week 1 game against USF. Hall had a turnover-worthy throw last week — but the Baylor defense failed to capitalize. With how good his decision making has been this season, it would come as a surprise if Hall gave the Ducks any opportunities on Saturday.

Minnesota WR Chris Autman-Bell vs. Colorado — Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)

• Another cupcake matchup for the Golden Gophers: The bookmakers are pricing down a passing game explosion for this offense. Autman-Bell finally flashed his ability in last week's dominating win over Western Illinois, accounting for seven targets and a 38.8% team target share on 18 Tanner Morgan pass attempts. The few times the Gophers are throwing, it’s heading in Autman-Bell’s direction.

• Colorado is horrendous in coverage: 121st in PFF’s opponent-adjusted coverage grade, Autman-Bell’s been targeted at a 13.0 aDot on his 11 targets this season. It could only take one reception for him to eclipse this number on Saturday.

Autman-Bell — Over 0.5 Receiving TDs (+215 DraftKings)

• If Autman-Bell goes over his receiving yardage number, then the receiving touchdown at +215 will come quickly after. PFF projections have him scoring a touchdown 35.6% of outcomes, providing plenty of value at this +215 price. It will be the Mohamed Ibrahaim game late in Minnesota, but Autman-Bell should provide a few flashes early on Saturday.

Georgia QB Stetson Bennett vs. South Carolina — Over 0.5 Interceptions (+175 DraftKings)

• Stetson Bennett hasn’t thrown an interception since the conference championship loss to Alabama last year. But his turnover-worthy play rate continues to sit around 3% as he is giving at least one opportunity for a turnover in each game. At some point a team has to take advantage, and if they want to remain competitive on Saturday, it must be the Gamecocks. It’s not overly likely, but PFF would price this closer to a +130 number. 

Penn State WR Parker Washington at Auburn — Under 46.5 Receiving Yards (-105 Draftkings)

• Washington’s turned into a bit of an afterthought in the Nittany Lions offense, seeing only four targets in each of the first two games. The other problem is that all of his successful targets have also been underneath, as Sean Clifford and him have yet to connect on a deep shot. Against a top-20 coverage unit, expect more tough sledding for Washington on Saturday.

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