Betting News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

College Football Week 3: Best spread picks for today’s games

Tampa, FL, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Matt Corral (2) throws the ball against the Indiana Hoosiers during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Locking in college bets early in the week is always the best move, but that’s not to say all the value has been squeezed into oblivion come Saturday morning. There is plenty of opportunities out there to take advantage of in the hours leading up to the Week 3 kickoff, and I’m here to help the public find it. 

Click here for more PFF tools:

Rankings & ProjectionsWR/CB Matchup ChartNFL & NCAA Betting DashboardsNFL Player Props toolNFL & NCAA Power Rankings

Below are some of my favorites spread picks that I feel are still worth jumping on for Saturday’s slate.

Please note that there is no model involved with these picks, as they are independent from PFF Greenline.


Sunday, Sep. 19 | 12:30 AM EST | FS1

The Pick: San Jose State -6.5

 PFF Greenline uses exclusive game and player data to make projections on college football game spreads, moneyline, and over/under.

Even though this game may technically kick off Sunday morning if you live in the eastern time zone, for all intents and purposes, it's a late-night Saturday matchup.

A trip across the pond and a blowout loss to USC — who subsequently got beaten handily by Stanford — are the two big driving forces behind San Jose State being only 6.5-point favorites against an underwhelming Hawai’i team. The Rainbow Warriors enter this contest 0-3 against the spread in 2021 with the 118th-ranked coverage unit in terms of PFF grade. San Jose State’s pass offense is led by quarterback Nick Starkel, and it is clicking early, ranking second in the FBS in explosive pass play rate. The Spartans' defense will be facing a run-and-gun Hawai’i offense that is centered around the pass. While the Spartans have caught some bad breaks in coverage, they have graded out well through two weeks, ranking 22nd in the FBS in unit coverage grade. Right under the key number seven is great value here for San Jose State.


Subscribe to PFF+ to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with


Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS.

$9.99 / mo
$79.99 / yr