Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Week 14 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.
The tool delivers real-time projections, matchup data, hit rates and the best available odds all in one place. It’s the same level of insight trusted by all 32 NFL teams, now at your fingertips.
Here are our analysts' favorite bets for the Week 14 Sunday slate. Their picks have gone 37-37-4 through 13 weeks.
Trevor Sikkema (8-5)
Tyrod Taylor, New York Jets: Over 0.5 passing TDs (-220 BetMGM)
Even for an offense that doesn’t rely on heavy passing volume to move the ball, this line of just one passing touchdown from Taylor is too appealing to ignore. He has hit this mark in nine of his last 10 starts, and our Player Prop Tool gives it a 68.8% cover probability, making the lower odds worth targeting.
Dalton Wasserman (7-6)
RB Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers: Over 1.5 receptions (FanDuel -130)
This play carries the highest cover probability of any bet in the PFF Player Prop Tool this week at 75.3%. Warren has recorded at least two receptions in 10 of his 11 games this season, and the Ravens have allowed at least two catches to running backs in 10 of their 12 games while ranking 27th in coverage grade when targeting the position. With the Steelers offense unlikely to get more aggressive, Warren should see at least a few checkdown opportunities.
Ben Linsey (9-4)
RB Kenneth Gainwell, Pittsburgh Steelers: Under 27.5 rushing yards (-115 BetMGM)
Gainwell has gone under this number in seven of his past 10 games. Removing Pittsburgh’s games against Minnesota and Cincinnati — where Warren either missed the entire game or left early with injury — Gainwell has averaged fewer than five carries per game, and the Ravens rank second in expected points allowed per run play since their Week 7 bye. The PFF Player Prop Tool sees this as a 23% edge in one of its stronger prop markets.
Mason Cameron (4-8-1)
Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks: Over 9.5 rushing attempts (+102)
Charbonnet is coming off a strong performance in Week 13, where he forced seven missed tackles and generated 5.1 yards after contact per attempt. That showing earned the third-year back the highest PFF grade of his young career (90.5). His 14 carries marked the fifth time he’s equaled or exceeded the workload volume of backfield mate Kenneth Walker III.
Seattle’s backfield split settles around a 44.2% share for Charbonnet and a 51.2% share for Walker. With Walker’s line sitting at 15.5 carries (63% higher), Charbonnet’s volume profile is still being undervalued, in a Seahawks offense that leads the NFL in run play percentage by over five percentage points. Charbonnet has seen double-digit carries in eight of his 11 games, making this a solid angle.
Max Chadwick (5-6-2)
Tyrod Taylor, New York Jets: Over 5.5 rushing attempts (+115 BetMGM)
Like Trevor, I’m also taking the over on a Tyrod Taylor player prop this week. Our Player Prop Tool gives this play a 66.3% chance of covering with an edge of +42.6%, making it one of the strongest values on the board. Taylor has averaged six rushing attempts per game over his last four starts, including eight last week against the Falcons, and the Dolphins have the second-worst defense in the league in quarterback rushing yards allowed.
Gordon McGuinness (4-8-1)
WR Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs: Over 6.5 receptions (+128 FanDuel)
Rice has racked up 24 targets and 16 receptions over the past two weeks, with no other Chiefs player seeing more than 14 targets or nine receptions. This passing offense runs through Rice right now, and there’s little reason to expect anything different this week. So, while this is a high number to clear, recent history suggests that he’ll get every opportunity to do so.
© 2026 PFF - all rights reserved.