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Sunday Night Football Best Bets: Player props, spread bets and more

Bet Aaron Rodgers o1.5 rush yards: At least one designed rush in 5/7 games, and with passing game particularly limited Sunday night, he'll have to sell out at all costs to move the ball.

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Bet Stefon Diggs o6.5 receptions: PFF Greenline edge of 8.5; Diggs over in 5/6 games to begin season.

Last updated: Oct. 30, 6:00 p.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins


Here are PFF staff best bets in Green Bay Packers-Buffalo Bills on SNF in Week 8:

Ben Brown: Packers QB Aaron Rodgers — Over 1.5 rush yards (-115)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -120

With the pass-catching issues plaguing the Packers' offense, one thing that’s seen an uptick is Aaron Rodgers designed rush attempts. He has at least one in 5/7 games this season, but Rodgers has only gone over this prop number in one game this year. Facing off against a high-octane offense in primetime, expect Rodgers to resort to any means necessary to move the football, which should result in a decent run for a first down. The Bills' pass rush is another reason to expect an additional uptick in opportunity for Rodgers on this player prop, as I return to my roots for a classic quarterback rushing prop on Sunday night football.

Martyn Carlisle: Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary — Under 55.5 rush yards (-110)

Richard Janvrin: Packers TE Robert Tonyan anytime TD (+270)

Appearing on The Pat McAfee Show, it was evident that Rodgers was displeased with some of the performances on the offensive side of the ball. One of his more trusted weapons is tight end Robert Tonyan who, coming off an injury last season, is third on the team in targets and tied for third in snaps where he’s running a route. The Packers are 10.5-point road underdogs, and against this Bills offense, they will need to throw to stay in it. Tonyan should match up plenty with linebacker Tremaine Edmunds who’s allowed 10 catches on 11 targets in his last two games. 

PFF Greenline top play: Bills WR Stefon Diggs — Over 6.5 receptions (-123)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -138
Diggs is almost an autoplay at this number, and Greenline sees it similarly with a significant 8.5% edge. The Bills' top receiver has gone over in 5/6 games this season and should be quickly reestablished as the go-to weapon on offense coming out of the bye. Jaire Alexander did get the better of Diggs in their two previous meetings — in 2019, when Diggs was still a member of the Vikings — and holds a matchup advantage, per PFF WR/CB Matchup Chart (44.5, below-average for Diggs), but we like betting on Buffalo's elite offense on the big stage.

 

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