Betting News & Analysis

NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Player Prop Bets: Jordan Love, Rachaad White and more

2WB0F2N Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (10) reacts during the second half of an NFL football game against the Chicago Bears Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024, in Green Bay, Wis. (AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps

QB Jordan Love over 242.5 passing yards: Love finished the season ranked fifth among his peers in expected points added (EPA) per play, and he ranked first at his position in PFF grade from Week 11 to the end of the season. The Packers are 7.5-point underdogs and are likely to be playing from behind for most of the game, which should lead to more chances for Love to go over this number.

RB Rachaad White over 16.5 rushing attempts: The Buccaneers love running the ball, and they have really been feeding Rachaad White in recent weeks. Since week 13, White has run the ball at least 19 times in five of the six games. He serves as the bell cow in this offense in close games.

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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

QB Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers: Over 242.5 passing yards (-110)

The Cowboys boast one of the best defenses in the league, and part of that is because of how quickly the team can pressure the quarterback.

The Cowboys lead the league in quick pressure rate (pressure under 2.5 seconds) this season. However, the Packers offensive line has allowed quick pressure at the lowest rate in the NFL.

Love finished the season ranked fifth among his peers in expected points added (EPA) per play, and he ranked first at his position in PFF grade from Week 11 to the end of the season.

The Packers are 7.5-point underdogs and are likely to be playing from behind for most of the game, which should lead to more chances for Love to go over this number.

PFF's Best Bets Tool uses PFF data to uncover the biggest edges in the betting market.

RB Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers: Over 3.5 receptions (+130)

It doesn't feel good to take a receiving prop over in a game that’s expected to be heavily influenced by weather, but Warren has been a big security blanket for whoever has played quarterback for the Steelers in recent weeks. Whether it has been Mitchell Trubisky or Mason Rudolph, Warren has caught at least four passes in each of his last five games.

The Bills defense has come on strong in recent weeks, but the group has still struggled to cover running backs. They’ve allowed the eighth-most catches to the position — 85, to be precise, which is an average of 5.3 a game.

The Steelers are also 10-point underdogs in this game, and even with how difficult the weather will be, they’ll likely find themselves having to throw to stay in the contest.

RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 16.5 rushing attempts (-120)

The Buccaneers love running the ball, and they have been feeding Rachaad White in recent weeks. Since week 13, White has run the ball at least 19 times in five of the six games. He serves as the bell cow in this offense in close games.

As shown in the chart above, the Bucs have generated a negative pass rate over expected in most games and prefer to run the ball rather than drop back to pass. Overall, the Bucs average a -1.7% pass rate over expected, which we can expect to continue in this game, especially with Baker Mayfield banged up.

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