Premium Content Sign Up

NFL Betting: Best divisional round anytime TD prop bets

Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon (1) celebrates his touchdown scored against the Las Vegas Raiders with guard Joe Thuney (62) during the first half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

• Bet Jerick McKinnon to continue red-zone dominance: The Chiefs running back has seen nine red-zone targets since the start of December — five more than tight end Travis Kelce.

• Bet Ja'Marr Chase to flourish with Joe Burrow once more: Chase has been on a tear as of late, and quarterback Joe Burrow is feeding targets to his star receiver.

Estimated Reading Time: 5 mins

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM


Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs

BET: RB Jerick McKinnon Anytime TD (+100 @ BetMGM)

Move over, Travis Kelce. It's the Jerick McKinnon show in Kansas City now — at least in terms of red-zone usage. Since the start of December, a shift in red-zone target share has seen McKinnon (nine targets) more involved than Kelce (four targets). During those six games, McKinnon has racked up eight receiving touchdowns and now totals the second-most red-zone targets of any running back, behind only Austin Ekeler. Eight of McKinnon’s nine scores this season came from within the 20-yard line, most off concepts designed to create a mismatch for him.

This Jacksonville defense has struggled to contain backs to varying degrees this season. On one hand, they have yet to allow a receiving touchdown to a back all year. On the other hand, they’ve allowed the second-most receiving yardage to backs. So, there are clearly opportunities for running backs against this defense. Since the start of December, the Jaguars have allowed six touchdowns to backs, albeit all rushing, including a pair to the aforementioned Ekeler in the wild-card round this past weekend. 


Unlimited Fantasy League Sync
Fantasy Start/Sit Line-Up Optimizer & Waiver Wire
WR-CB & OL-DL Matchups, PFF Player Grades, & Premium Stats 2.0 Tools
Nathan Jahnkes Rankings - #1 Most Accurate Last 70 Weeks
PFF Best Bets, Player Props, & Power Ranking Tools
NFL Mock Draft Sim with Trades & Draft Grades

Already have a subscription? Log In

Betting Featured Tools
  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with


Unlock the 2023 Fantasy Draft Kit, with League Sync, Live Draft Assistant, PFF Grades & Data Platform that powers all 32 Pro Teams

$31 Draft Kit Fee + $8.99/mo
$89.88/yr + FREE Draft Kit