- Cody Barton over 8.5 tackles: A full-time role in a linebacker-friendly defense against an optimal opponent to rack up tackles should allow Barton to comfortably clear his prop this week.
- Going for it all: The NFL’s leading tackler, Foyesade Oluokun, has a high line set this week, but there’s reason he can hit the over for those willing to risk it.
- Sack of the week: Second-year edge rusher Jaelan Phillips draws a positive head-to-head matchup against the Buffalo Bills right tackle.
Estimated reading time: 5 minutes
The NFL playoffs provide plenty of opportunity for bettors to identify and exploit the key matchups with prop bets. With some key data points, there is an advantage to be had for those looking to make some money this weekend.
Attached below is a tweet that provides more insight into what exactly “linebacker-friendly” defenses means:
#FFIDP – I wanted to create a metric that adds weight to teams that most deploy each of the coverages (below) in order to create a ranking of the most friendly defenses for ideal LB TKL efficiency.
Here is what that looks like (+ bonus zone/man rates)
— Jon Macri (@PFF_Macri) January 13, 2023