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NFL Betting 2023: Data-driven tackle and sack props for Super Bowl 57

Philadelphia Eagles linebacker T.J. Edwards (57) breaks up a pass intended for Tennessee Titans wide receiver Robert Woods (2) during the third quarter at Lincoln Financial Field Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022, in Philadelphia, Pa. Nfl Tennessee Titans At Philadelphia Eagles

  • Return of the 100-tackle corner: L’Jarius Sneed should have plenty of opportunities to continue his productive ways this weekend. 
  • T.J. Edwards‘ cold streak could continue: With just seven tackles in the playoffs, Edwards draws a less-than-ideal opponent for securing tackle production this week.
  • Add a Haason Reddick sack to parlays: Reddick has been dominant all season long and has continued to wreak havoc in the playoffs.
Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

The NFL playoffs provide plenty of opportunity for bettors to focus on the key matchups and accompanying prop bets. The often-overlooked defensive props are no different, and with some key data points, there is an advantage to be had for those looking to make some money this weekend.

Bet: T.J. Edwards under 8.5 total tackles (1.78 on BETMGM)

Edwards hasn't produced as well during these playoffs due to coming off the field just slightly more than in the regular season, averaging 90% of Philadelphia's defensive snaps now compared to playing nearly 100% during the regular season. It isn’t massive, but it’s often the difference between one or two more tackles in the score sheet for a linebacker. 

Kansas City’s offense has also not been ideal for linebacker tackling, as it ranks 24th in tackles surrendered to the position per game (17.1) and finished under that total (14) last game against the Cincinnati Bengals. Edwards was a great tackler during the regular season, but this cold streak has led to just seven tackles in two games, including a game against the San Francisco 49ers, who typically allowed linebackers to produce well. It won’t be a surprise to see him finish under his tackle prop one more time against the Chiefs this weekend.

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