News & Analysis

Favorite NFL futures bets ahead of Week 9

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) celebrates his first touchdown pass to Miami Dolphins wide receiver DeVante Parker (11) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, November 1, 2020. (ALLEN EYESTONE / THE PALM BEACH POST)

Our futures took a little bit of a hit in Week 8 with the Baltimore Ravens losing at home to the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Tennessee Titans falling to the lowly Cincinnati Bengals, and the Philadelphia Eagles continuing to win despite playing poorly. We are sitting on some nice value, though, with this portfolio still +EV despite the past few weeks.

Editor's note: PFF's NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards (PFF Greenline) offer PFF-exclusive insight on moneyline, against the spread and over/under picks for every NFL and FBS game in 2020. Subscribe to PFF ELITE to get access.

After Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl: +550 after Week 1, now +350 

Seattle Seahawks to win the NFC West and Super Bowl: +190 and +1400 after Week 1, now -250 and +800

Green Bay Packers to win the Super Bowl: +2600 after Week 1, now +1200

Tennessee Titans to win the AFC South: +125 after Week 1, now -140

After Week 2

Green Bay Packers to win the NFC North: -140 after Week 2, now -280

Philadelphia Eagles to miss the playoffs: -170 after Week 2, now +205

Arizona Cardinals to make the playoffs: +104 after Week 2, now -215

After Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the NFC South: +100 after Week 3, now -175

New England Patriots to win the AFC East: +125 after Week 3, now +1100

After Week 4

Cleveland Browns to make the playoffs: -182 after Week 4, now -160

After Week 5

Dallas Cowboys to win the NFC East: -125 after Week 5, now +750

After Week 6

Baltimore Ravens to win the AFC North: -165 after Week 6, now +240

After Week 7

Washington Football Team +450 to win the NFC East, now +445 

Our Week 8 futures bet

Miami Dolphins +184 to make the playoffs

We currently make this +150. I am fully aware of how poorly Tua Tagovailoa played against the Los Angeles Rams and how fluky that win was. However, the Dolphins are at 4-3 with two divisional games against teams that very well might be tanking in the New England Patriots and New York Jets. They also have contests with other rookie quarterbacks, such as Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow, on the docket. So, look for what has been a stellar Miami defense to do enough to get the Phins to at least eight or nine wins, which could be sufficient in a seven-team playoff format in the AFC.  

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