News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Examining Derrick Henry's 2020 NFL season rushing props

The Tennessee Titans took the NFL by storm in the second half of the 2019 campaign, finishing the regular season with seven wins in their last 10 games and building a 10-point lead in the AFC title game at Arrowhead Stadium. Ryan Tannehill’s career rebirth under the tutelage of offensive coordinator Arthur Smith was the biggest reason, as the quarterback finished first in the league in yards per pass attempt and PFF grade while earning more than two wins above replacement. 

[Editor’s note: Subscribe to PFF ELITE today to gain access to PFF’s Premium Stats and new Player Grades experience in addition to the 2020 NFL Draft Guide2020 Fantasy Rookie Scouting ReportPFF Greenline, all of PFF’s premium article content and more.]

Rushing champion Derrick Henry tagged along, racking up 1,540 yards in 15 games, with more than 1,200 coming after contact. His current rushing prop at Caesars is 1199.5 (-110 to the over, -110 to the under). Taking a look at our fantasy projections, this looks a little bit short, as we have Henry projected to rush for more than 1,350 yards on just under 300 carries — both league highs for the position. With Henry on the franchise tag for the 2020 season and relatively little in the way of competition for carries in Tennessee, I’m inclined to like the over here. However, here are a few things to consider before making a wager:

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

    Elite
  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

    Elite
  • PFFELO Ratings are PFF’s NFL power rankings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

    Edge
  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

    Elite CFB Prem Stats+
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr
College Subscriptions

Unlock College Player Grades and Preview Magazine

$7.99 / mo
$27.99 / yr

Unlock NCAA Premium Stats & PFF Greenline NCAA

$29.99 / mo
$119.99 / yr