Utilizing our player props tool has been beneficial to sports bettors' bankrolls to start the 2020 season, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet.
Written picks have also done well, going 37-24 as we head into the main Sunday slate of Week 7. This record is based on grading against the closing line number. One-unit wagers have profited 7.85 units to start the season when minus-priced props are set to win one unit and plus-money props risk one unit.
2020 is the year of the high total, though that has dropped off slightly after the under parade that was last week. The mean total for Week 7 is slightly lower than the previous three weeks but is still the fourth-highest mean since we began tracking in 2007. This information provides context for how we should approach what the betting market believes should be a high-scoring week.
Just because game totals go over doesn’t mean player props always follow suit. There is typically concentrated production from a few high-end players that smash the over on their player props but leave little room for the rest of their teammates to do the same. Let’s dive into the best player props to make as we head into the main slate of Week 7. If you would like to hear a full discussion of all player props for this Sunday’s slate, make sure to listen to the PFF Daily Betting podcast.
Matt Ryan over 2.5 passing touchdowns