Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to single-game opportunities.
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One of the easiest transitions into sports betting is through player props, as fantasy applications help evaluate betting opportunities.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's Player Props Tool, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the best player props to bet for Monday Night Football.
QB GENO SMITH: Over 204.5 passing yards (-115)
Yes, Smith wasn't great last week, as his 67.3 PFF grade shows. And yes, this is still the same quarterback who has earned just two single-game grades above 80.0 over his nine-year career. However, the Saints' strong run defense coupled with what should be a pass-heavy game script for the Hawks could work in Smith's favor.
Not only does the Saints defense rank 24th in team coverage grade since Week 4, but they play predominantly Cover 1 and Cover 3. Smith generated a 77.6 passing grade against Cover 1 and Cover 3 in Week 6, compared to a 57.6 grade against Cover 2.
PFF’s Player Props tool gives Smith a 55% chance of covering and throwing for 205 or more yards this week.