Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to single-game opportunities.
Leverage PFF's predictive betting models and player props tools to identify the best betting opportunities in the Week 8 Monday Night Football contest between the New York Giants and the Kansas City Chiefs.
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One of the easiest transitions into sports betting is through player props, as fantasy applications help evaluate betting opportunities.
One way to consistently find defined edges is by utilizing PFF's player props tool, as the ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the best player props to bet for Monday Night Football.
WR TYREEK HILL: Over 6.5 receptions (-118)
Over the last four weeks, Hill has averaged 8.25 receptions per game for a Chiefs offense that has been spectacularly inconsistent — even with Patrick Mahomes under center.
According to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Chart, Hill will line up across from New York Giants cornerback Darnay Holmes on 53% of his snaps, which is a mismatch in favor of Hill. Holmes’ 49.1 coverage grade this season ranks 154th among all cornerbacks, and while his 4.48-second 40-yard dash time isn't slow, it isn’t ideal for guarding the best deep threat in the NFL.
The speedy Chiefs wideout has covered this line in four of his seven games. If that wasn't enough, PFF’s Player Props Tool not only projects Hill to record 6.6 receptions in this game but also gives him a 62.3% chance of covering and catching at least seven passes.