Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to these single-game opportunities.
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One of the best ways to quantify an edge is by utilizing PFF's player props tool. The ability to adjust both number and price means you are always certain of the expected value for each prop bet. Let’s dive into the best player props to bet ahead of Sunday Night Football.
WR D.K. METCALF: Over 63.5 receiving yards (-115)
Metcalf has got off to a scorching hot start to his third year in the NFL, as his 85.6 receiving grade ranks fifth among all receivers with at least 100 snaps.
According to PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Chart, Metcalf has a plus matchup against Pittsburgh’s corners, especially over James Pierre. Pierre, who has earned a 61.1 PFF coverage grade so far, is projected to line up across from Metcalf on 32 of his 56 snaps.
Seahawks backup quarterback Geno Smith immediately established a strong connection with Metcalf when he replaced Russell Wilson last week, targeting him four times and completing three passes for 54 yards and a TD in less than a half of football — against Jalen Ramsey, no less.
PFF’s Player Props Tool projects 70.7 receiving yards for Metcalf and gives him a 55.3% chance to record at least 64 receiving yards to cover the prop on Sunday Night, making this a positive expected value bet.
QB BEN ROETHLISBERGER: Under 1.5 passing TDs (+103)
Big Ben has struggled this season, and he's struggled badly.