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Every week, we break down the matchups, data angles and player tendencies that matter most to bettors, building a library of actionable insights you can use across the season.
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Anytime touchdown bets are always a fan favorite — but instead of guessing, you can lean on the new PFF Player Prop Tool to separate signal from noise.
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J.J. McCarthy has struggled badly on plays with no disruption, failing to generate positive EPA even when the league baseline is 0.3. With the Vikings defense overrated and Caleb Williams positioned to succeed against the blitz, this matchup is far less favorable for a quarterback who has consistently destroyed too many clean-play opportunities.
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Mahomes has returned to one of the highest scrambling rates in the NFL this year and is producing at his usual level when he takes off. That should lead to plenty of offensive success, making the Chiefs, their team-total overs, alternate lines and Mahomes props appealing in Week 11.
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A.J. Brown has been one of the league’s most effective receivers against man coverage, and Jalen Hurts has produced nearly 0.5 EPA per play more when facing man than zone. With Detroit playing heavy man coverage without the personnel to match up, this creates a strong setup for an Eagles passing-focused build featuring Hurts, Brown and Eagles -1.5.
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Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting into the swing of things, the PFF Player Prop Tool gives you actionable takes to beat the sportsbooks.
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Week 11 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.
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Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown has had a tough season, but he thrives against man coverage — which the Lions run at the second-highest rate in the NFL.
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