The San Francisco 49ers travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles in Philadelphia, Pa., on Sunday, Jan. 11, with kickoff set for 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
Below, we break down the spread, moneyline and total using PFF's market data, compare the two starting quarterbacks through stable efficiency metrics and highlight the team-level advantages that could swing this game.
This preview also dives into notable injuries, trench mismatches and unit-level grades that matter most on Sunday, with all data powered by PFF Premium Stats and betting projections.
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Click here to see PFF's data-backed bets for this game
Team Metrics
| 49ers | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Power Rank: Overall | 12th | 9th |
| Power Rank: Defense | 24th | 5th |
| Power Rank: Offense | 8th | 13th |
| SOS Played | 25th | 11th |
| Avg Offensive Snaps | 66.9 | 63.7 |
| % Run Plays | 40.9% | 41.8% |
| % Pass Plays | 59.1% | 58.2% |
| EPA Per Run | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| EPA Per Pass | 0.12 | 0.06 |
QB Comparison
| 49ers | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | B. Purdy | J. Hurts |
| PFF Grade | 90.0 | 78.9 |
| Passer Rating Clean | 114.2 | 110.8 |
| Passer Rating Under Pressure | 73.6 | 69.3 |
| Big-Time Throw % | 3.61% | 4.09% |
| Turnover-Worthy Play % | 3.31% | 1.96% |
| Power Rating | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Power Rating Rank | 11th | 10th |
Key Injuries: 49ers
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status | Grade | Pos WAR Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Warner | LB | Leg | IR | 93.2 | 28th |
| T. Williams | T | Leg | Q | 91.5 | 3rd |
| N. Bosa | ED | Leg | IR | 86.3 | 63rd |
| R. Pearsall | WR | Leg | Q | 73.5 | 45th |
| B. Bartch | G | Leg | IR | 71.7 | 44th |
| D. Winters | LB | Leg | Q | 59.8 | 30th |
| M. Williams | ED | Leg | IR | 53.9 | 166th |
Key Injuries: Eagles
| Player | Pos | Injury | Status | Grade | Pos WAR Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Johnson | T | Leg | Q | 77.4 | 34th |
| J. Phillips | ED | Leg | Q | 74.0 | 35th |
| B. Toth | G | Head | Q | 73.6 | 45th |
| D. Goedert | TE | Leg | Q | 66.8 | 28th |
| A. Ojulari | ED | Leg | IR | 62.5 | 150th |
| N. Dean | LB | Leg | Q | 61.7 | 60th |
| J. Carter | DI | Leg | Q | 60.1 | 12th |
Betting insights: Spread
| Spread | 49ers | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Market | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-110) |
| PFF Projection | +3.9 | -3.9 |
| Implied Cover Probability | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Break Even | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Value | -0.3% | -4.5% |
| $$$% | 74% | 26% |
| Bets% | 75% | 25% |
Betting insights: Moneyline
| Moneyline | 49ers | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Market | +185 | -223 |
| PFF Projection | +181 | -180 |
| Implied Win Probability | 35.6% | 64.3% |
| Break Even | 35.1% | 69.0% |
| Value | 0.6% | -4.7% |
| $$$% | 49% | 51% |
| Bets% | 40% | 60% |
Betting insights: Total
| Total | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Market | 45 (-110) | 45 (-110) |
| PFF Projection | 44.8 | 44.8 |
| Implied Cover Probability | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| Break Even | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Value | -0.3% | -4.5% |
| $$$% | 53% | 47% |
| Bets% | 39% | 61% |
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