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2022 AFC Championship: Best Kansas City Chiefs-Cincinnati Bengals single-game & player props bets

Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) drops back to pass against the Tennessee Titans during the second half during a AFC Divisional playoff football game at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Island games are the highlight of any NFL week for betting enthusiasts. As the industry continues to grow, some of the most discussed moments belong to single-game opportunities. Nowhere is that showcased better than the NFL playoffs.


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PFF will bring you all of the best betting opportunities for every single playoff game from our predictive betting models and player prop tools.

Let’s dive into the best value bets for Sunday’s AFC conference championship round matchups between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

PLAYER PROPS

WR Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs over 6.5 receptions (-115)

Hill’s usage shifted dramatically in 2021, as it was his lowest average depth of target (aDot) in a season since his rookie year. This year was the first time since 2017 where over 50% of Hill's targets came within nine yards of the line of scrimmage, and that trend has only become more drastic in recent weeks. Last week, over 80% of Hill's targets came within nine yards of the line of scrimmage, as Andy Reid continues to focus on getting his best playmaker in space. 

Expect Travis Kelce to again operate in the intermediate middle part of the field while Hill received most of his opportunities underneath. He hasn’t been overly consistent going over his reception prop — 10-9 record this season — but he has, by far. the best matchup against the Bengals secondary on Sunday. 

PFF’s WR/CB Matchup Chart is a fantasy football tool you can use to help set the best lineups. You can toggle between showing the Matchup Advantage column against all projected coverage, or the individual defenders.

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