After a dominant 4-0 performance in Week 13, featuring wins on both Thursday night and the weekend, I'm looking to keep the streak alive in Week 14. My current record sits at 21-19, and we'll try to improve that record even more this week.
Click here for more PFF tools:
Every week, I look at who has the edge in these five categories: quarterback, defense, offensive talent, play in the trenches and coaching.
Let’s get to my favorite bets of NFL Week 14.
This is a huge divisional matchup in the NFC East. As of right now, both teams control their playoff fate. Jerry Jones and Mike McCarthy have made this a big game for offensive coordinator Kellen Moore and quarterback Dak Prescott, who currently ranks fifth among quarterbacks (min. 50 dropbacks) in PFF passing grade (85.0).
Prescott and the rest of the Cowboys offense — specifically the wide receivers — have to step it up and respond after the owner essentially called them out in the media this week.
|Passer Rating When Clean||121.1||109.4|
|Passer Rating Under Pressure||80.2||66.7|
|Big-Time Throw %||5.7%||2.9%|
|Turnover-Worthy Play %||2.4%||3.5%|
The Cowboys' defensive front is finally back to full strength and will be a problem for Washington's offensive line. I expect the Cowboys offense to move the ball and put up points. If this becomes a two-score game, it spells trouble for Taylor Heinicke and the rest of the Football Team.
Washington's offense excels at controlling the line of scrimmage and running the ball at will. However, I believe the Cowboys defense will be up to the task this week, which is why Dallas will win this game decisively and put the NFC back on notice.
Taysom Hill should have a better outing on Sunday against the Jets than he did against Dallas last week. I expect Sean Payton to adjust the pffensive game plan, which will give Hill a better chance to succeed. Alvin Kamara‘s return to the lineup should pay huge dividends. I expect the Saints offense to have a successful outing.
The Saints defense ranks second in PFF grade (76.6), and it passes my eye test with flying colors! I love watching this Saints defense play ball. They are one of the best-coached units in the NFL, and I fully expect Zach Wilson, who ranks 40th among quarterbacks in PFF passing grade (56.1; min. 50 dropbacks) to have a rough outing.
Russell Wilson finally looked somewhat like himself last wee, though he is not quite Mr. Unlimited just yet. It seems like he is finding his groove, and what better team to be facing than the 2-10 Texans?
Even with Seattle’s struggle this year, I can trust Pete Carroll, Wilson and Bobby Wagner. I have no idea what’s going on with Texans. I believe the Seahawks win by a couple of scores.
Dog of the day: Atlanta Falcons (ML) over the Carolina Panthers
The Falcons have the clear quarterback advantage in this matchup. Matt Ryan has had a good season, especially given that he has been missing his No. 1 wide receiver, Calvin Ridley, for most of the season. Ryan gets another weapon back this week, though, as tight end Hayden Hurst will return from injury.
The Panthers offense has major problems, starting at playcaller. Offensive coordinator Joe Brady was fired last week, so new offensive coordinator Jeff Nixon will be calling plays for the first time. Unfortunately, the issues don’t stop there, as Christian McCaffrey is done for the season while starting quarterback Cam Newton is coming off of his worst NFL outing.
This is a must-win game for both teams with playoff chances on the line, but I think the Falcons are more prepared to come out with a much-needed victory.