In the first part of this series, we covered some of the intricacies that factor into these contract negotiations from a 30,000-foot view. This time around, we’ll focus more on the various statistical inputs one could compare and contrast to arrive at a reasonable contract projection.
For the following three players, we’ll find comparable players based on age, contract history, career trajectory and, of course, various production metrics. We aren’t always looking for perfect comparisons, but it can help to find a range of players that assist in illustrating the potential outcomes.
We generally want to focus on the two-year window prior to negotiations when selecting comparisons. One of the great things about PFF data is that it was historically hard to compare players at positions without traditional statistics (offensive line, etc.), but we have come a long way in addressing that obstacle.
A good example would be at nose tackle, where two-gapping run stuffers may not show up on the traditional score sheet once the entire game despite putting together a dominant outing.
These two nose tackles profile a bit differently in terms of what their relative skill sets bring to the table, with Ford lining up as a true 0-technique directly over the center far more often than Stewart, who tends to shade the center’s outside shoulder as a 1-tech.