Week 5 fantasy football waiver wire targets, trade candidates and start or sit roster decisions based on PFF routes run | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections | PFF

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Week 5 fantasy football waiver wire targets, trade candidates and start or sit roster decisions based on PFF routes run

Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Washington Football Team wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17) celebrates after a touchdown catch against the Atlanta Falcons in the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Opportunity is king in fantasy football, and chasing target volume has always been a winning strategy — especially in PPR leagues. PFF premium stats offers proprietary data that goes well beyond the box score, including routes run for every player from different alignments.


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Targeting players who are running a high percentage of routes is a good strategy for identifying breakout candidates. This weekly report will look at the previous week's rate of routes run per dropback compared to larger samples to find running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who are garnering more or less opportunities in the passing game.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Rate of routes run per dropback | Weeks 1-4
Player % of routes run per dropback
Terry McLaurin 99%
DeAndre Hopkins 97%
Cooper Kupp 97%
Adam Thielen 97%
Michael Pittman Jr. 97%
Chris Godwin 97%
Brandin Cooks 96%
Justin Jefferson 96%
Ja'Marr Chase 95%
Jakobi Meyers 95%
Tyler Lockett 95%
Darnell Mooney 95%
Zach Pascal 95%
Calvin Ridley 95%
DeVonta Smith 94%
Marvin Jones Jr. 93%
D.K. Metcalf 93%
D.J. Moore 91%
Deebo Samuel 91%
Tyler Boyd 90%
Amari Cooper 90%
Davante Adams 90%
Keenan Allen 90%

Darnell Mooney is tied with Allen Robinson for a team-leading 23% target share, but he leads the team in routes run rate per dropback (95%). The second-year receiver is seeing alpha usage and needs to be rostered in all formats.

Mooney's 28.5% target share since Week 2 finally led to production in Week 4, as he went bonkers versus the Lions defense to the tune of five catches for 125 receiving yards on seven targets.

The same goes for Michael Pittman Jr., who is being featured heavily in the Colts offense. His 23% target share matches Mooney, but Pittman has done more with his opportunities. He has caught at least six balls in three straight weeks, and there’s no reason to think he will slow down anytime soon.

Rate of routes run per dropback | Week 4
Player % of routes run per dropback
DeAndre Hopkins 100%
Cooper Kupp 98%
Adam Thielen 98%
Justin Jefferson 98%
Courtland Sutton 98%
Terry McLaurin 98%
Davante Adams 98%
Ja'Marr Chase 97%
Brandin Cooks 97%
Tyler Lockett 97%
Chris Conley 97%
CeeDee Lamb 97%
Calvin Ridley 96%
Mike Evans 96%
Chris Godwin 96%
JuJu Smith-Schuster 95%
Diontae Johnson 95%
Michael Pittman Jr. 94%
Jakobi Meyers 94%
Kenny Golladay 94%
Robert Woods 94%

Robert Woods’ 94% routes run rate per dropback marked a season-high. So even though he has struggled to put up top-tier fantasy production, being so involved in a high-powered passing offense is going to lead to a more consistent output. Just don't consider him a high-end WR2 with Cooper Kupp’s top-ranked 35% target share here to stay.

Related content for you: NFL Week 5 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Targets: All league sizes & scoring types via Andrew Erickson

Curtis Samuel returned from injury in Week 4 but was on a pitch count. He ran a route on only 38% of team dropbacks (16 routes), yet he was targeted four times close to the line of scrimmage (-1.50 aDOT). He should see more looks with an increased snap share in Week 5.

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