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Fantasy Football: Week 2 expected fantasy points report

Welcome back to the expected fantasy football points report — as always, we are leveraging PFF’s expected fantasy points model based on a player’s usage to determine if their performance is real, a mirage or due for a bounce back.

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In case you missed the primer at the beginning of the year, check out the introduction here to find out more about the process.


Player Team FPPG xFPPG +/- Games
Joe Burrow CIN 21.9 29.6 -7.6 2
Cam Newton NE 30.6 29.1 1.5 2
Josh Allen BUF 33.4 28.3 5.1 2
Dak Prescott DAL 29.7 25.1 4.6 2
Ryan Fitzpatrick MIA 14.4 23.8 -9.4 2
Aaron Rodgers GB 24.8 23.6 1.2 2
Matt Ryan ATL 26.7 22.1 4.6 2
Lamar Jackson BLT 22.6 21.4 1.2 2
Daniel Jones NYG 15.1 21.4 -6.3 2
Kyler Murray ARZ 30.2 20.6 9.6 2

Last week, Josh Allen was a big winner. This week, he was almost as big of a winner, but this week his xFP was much lower. Through two weeks, he is third in xFPPG. This is a promising start to the year for the divisive quarterback, but so far he’s played the Jets and the Dolphins — not exactly confidence-inspiring for representation of his true output.

The new leader in the clubhouse for high xFP on the week is rookie Joe Burrow. Now, Burrow threw the football 61 times this game — a feat that has only been accomplished by a rookie once since the merger. His dink and dunk styling held back his actual FP performance, but it is promising that the Bengals’ coaching staff is letting him throw freely.

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