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Perfect 2023 fantasy football superflex draft strategy, round by round — Picks 1-3

2MAF38H Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) plays against the New York Jets during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Sept. 18, 2022, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)

  • Attacking quarterback early and often: The beauty of the first three picks in a superflex league draft is securing a Tier 1 quarterback.
  • The skill positions are deep: While quarterback thins out quickly, there are still plenty of running backs and wide receivers to target later in superflex drafts.
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Estimated reading time: 16 minutes

Superflex fantasy drafts are becoming more popular year after year but there is still uncertainty on how and when to draft certain positions. This series will focus on superflex ADP as we draft from the 1-3 range in order to find the best players available for the optimal build.

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Know your scoring

Before diving into the pick-by-pick strategy, it’s going to be very important to familiarize yourself with the overall league and scoring settings, especially when it comes to superflex settings.

  • As highlighted in the tables below, full PPR scoring allows a much more balanced scoring for the skill position players compared to quarterbacks, although, quarterbacks still hold a clear advantage at the top.
  • As scoring moves away from full PPR, quarterbacks will dominate the leaderboards even more. As more advantages are given to the skill positions, expect to see a more even distribution among the league’s top scorers.
  • As league size increases, the quarterback position also becomes more valuable, as there are only 32 starters on any given week, so it becomes all the more important to load up on the position early.
PPR Scoring top finishers by position since 2013
TOP: 3 5 10 25 50 75 100 150
QB 57% 58% 50% 52% 41% 32% 27% 21%
RB 27% 30% 27% 18% 21% 24% 26% 27%
WR 17% 12% 23% 27% 33% 37% 39% 40%
TE 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 12%
0.5 PPR Scoring top finishers by position since 2013
TOP: 3 5 10 25 50 75 100 150
QB 87% 82% 79% 66% 47% 36% 30% 22%
RB 13% 16% 17% 19% 24% 27% 27% 29%
WR 0% 2% 4% 14% 25% 32% 37% 39%
TE 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 5% 7% 11%
Non-PPR Scoring top finishers by position since 2013
TOP: 3 5 10 25 50 75 100 150
QB 93% 92% 92% 77% 53% 40% 32% 24%
RB 7% 8% 8% 18% 27% 30% 31% 31%
WR 0% 0% 0% 5% 18% 26% 32% 37%
TE 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4% 5% 9%
Draft strategy context:
  • League size: 12 teams
  • Scoring settings are full PPR 
  • ADP referenced is from Sleeper

Round 1, Picks 1-3: Start things off with a Tier 1 fantasy quarterback

Between Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen, it’s difficult to make the wrong choice at the top of drafts here. Whether you’re picking first or third, grabbing any one of these options is exactly where you want to be to start your fantasy drafts. All three make up the top tier of quarterbacks for fantasy rankings, and that tier is about as close as it gets across all positions.

Top Target: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles
  • Sleeper Redraft SF ADP: 3.3

Hurts is PFF’s QB1 for fantasy this season and while it’s close between him, Allen and Mahomes, Hurts gets the slightest edge heading into the season.

  • Hurts offers the best rushing upside among the top three quarterbacks, averaging 9.8 rushing attempts per game in 2022 (QB kneels excluded), which led to 13 rushing touchdowns, as he was heavily utilized as a runner near the goal line.
  • Hurts was also incredibly effective as a passer, earning an 80.6 passing grade (sixth), and was among the very best in the league at limiting turnovers, earning the third-best turnover-worthy play rate (1.9%), which was even better than both Allen and Mahomes.
  • The ability to limit negative plays is a much more stable metric to rely on year-to-year than creating big plays, which helps give Hurts more of an edge, especially in leagues that punish interceptions more harshly.
  • Creating big plays won’t be an issue for Hurts either, as his receiving weapons are also superior to the other Tier 1 quarterbacks with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and even D’Andre Swift.
  • Hurts averaged an elite 25.6 points per game (second) in 2022, finishing as the overall QB3. He also missed three games and if he had played a full season would have certainly been in contention to finish as the overall QB1.
Possible targets: Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes

Round 2, picks 22-24: Add your RB1 or WR1 to the mix


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