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Erickson: NFL Week 15 fantasy football start'em, sit'em

Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) scrambles in the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports

Stop second-guessing yourself with fantasy football start/sit decisions — let PFF’s fantasy football rankings, projections and tools do the heavy lifting and guide you to a fantasy football championship. And when faced with two players placed back-to-back in the Week 15 fantasy football rankings, ride the horse that got you this far.


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My Week 14 start/sit picks went 18-12-2. Let’s keep it rolling with the fantasy football playoffs on deck. 

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QUARTERBACKS

START

JUSTIN FIELDS, CHICAGO BEARS

Fields earned the starting nod from me in Week 14 and delivered with a QB8 overall weekly finish

The rookie has strung together three top-10 finishes in his past three completed games because of an increase in rushing production. Fields has totaled 222 yards on the ground over the span and averaged 60 rushing yards per game over his past five full starts. 

The Minnesota Vikings defense has struggled mightily against quarterbacks over the past four weeks, allowing the most fantasy points per game to the position (22.3). There’s no better fill-in as a quarterback than Fields off the waiver wire this week. Bet the over on the rookie’s 180.5 passing yards prop.

DAK PRESCOTT, DALLAS COWBOYS

It’s been a rough four-week stretch for Prescott, as he has finished outside the top 20 quarterbacks in three of those contests. He has scored 23.9 fantasy points under expectation — by far the highest mark among quarterbacks. Prescott should have close to 1,200 passing yards and 7.4 passing touchdowns since Week 11, but he has totaled just 1,040 passing yards and four passing touchdowns.

But with all three of his top wide receivers back and healthy, Prescott should return to his productive self. And it's a plus matchup versus the New York Giants, who have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in three of their past four games. 

TUA TAGOVAILOA, MIAMI DOLPHINS

Tagovailoa, coming off a bye, has an extremely easy matchup in Week 15 versus the New York Jets. He is worth stashing if you need a signal-caller for the fantasy playoffs. 

The Alabama product scored 18.5 fantasy points the last time he faced the Jets. Gang Green has also allowed at least 16 fantasy points to every opposing starting quarterback this season since Week 4. 

They rank seventh in fantasy points per game allowed to the position over the past four weeks.

PFF Greenline uses exclusive game and player data to make projections on NFL game spreads, moneyline, and over/under.

JIMMY GAROPPOLO, SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

The San Francisco 49ers take on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 15. That's about all the analysis you need to consider Jimmy G as a desperation fantasy quarterback against a defense that ranks in the bottom five in fantasy points allowed per game to the position over the past five weeks. 

Have confidence that Garoppolo can deliver a borderline QB1 fantasy performance in an offense littered with playmakers. He is fantasy football’s QB10 in fantasy points per game (18.1) since Week 8.

TYLER HUNTLEY, BALTIMORE RAVENS

This is more so advice for superflex/2QB leagues as teams scramble for a Lamar Jackson replacement. And Huntley is your guy to immediately slide in. He has averaged over 40 rushing yards in his two games this season, and the Green Bay Packers are a sieve against mobile quarterbacks.

No team has allowed more rushing yards to opposing signal-callers than the Packers have this season. Monitor Jackson's status, and start Huntley accordingly.

SIT

LAMAR JACKSON, BALTIMORE RAVENS

The Ravens star quarterback suffered a low ankle sprain in Sunday's loss to the Cleveland Browns, putting his status in doubt for the first week of the fantasy football playoffs. Jackson had been struggling anyway, averaging 12.3 fantasy points per game since Week 10, and any limitations to his rushing would be detrimental to his fantasy value. 

Fantasy gamers should not wait until inactives are announced before the late afternoon games to see if Jackson will play. Chances are that you can find a better/safer option even if Jackson ends up playing. 

DEREK CARR, LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Carr has come crashing back down to earth after a hot start to the season. Since the Raiders' bye week, he has finished outside the top 19 quarterbacks in four of six games. To make matters worse, he draws a tough road matchup versus the Cleveland Browns, who rank as the second-worst matchup for QBs on the week.

The Browns have stifled opposing passing games, allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks in their past four games. And since Week 7, no signal-caller has scored 20 fantasy points against them.

CARSON WENTZ, INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Wentz can stay on the waiver wire, folks. The New England Patriots are the No. 1 defense against quarterbacks in fantasy points per game over the past four weeks and the No. 2 defense against quarterbacks this season.

RUNNING BACKS

START

CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRE, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Do not mistake Edwards-Helaire as a three-down bell cow. He certainly has touchdown upside playing in a high-powered offense, but the offense heavily favors Darrel Williams in passing situations.

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