Happy Week 11!
Ten weeks of football are in the books. Madness. Bye weeks continue to flow in, and injuries have unfortunately continued to take a toll on offenses around the league. Focusing on the long-term view is usually the right move in most walks of life, but it’s also important in fantasy football land to not be afraid to attack each week as its own mini one-game season.
What follows are my Week 11 QB rankings. Note that these are not season-long lists or projections; I’m purely ranking based on who I believe will score more fantasy points this week with a focus on 1) What the QB has achieved in recent weeks, 2) Injuries or workload changes that could impact their production, and 3) This week’s matchup.
1. ARIZONA CARDINALS QB KYLER MURRAY AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (SEA -3.5, 58.5)
It’s still tough to comprehend exactly how Murray completed his miraculous Hail Mary to DeAndre Hopkins to beat the Bills in Week 10. Yes, Nuk deserves plenty of credit for out-leaping three (!!!) defenders for the ball. Also yes, Murray rolled out to his left, dodged a tackle and then heaved the ball 50 yards to the end zone while falling out of bounds. Pure madness.
WAIT KYLER MURRAY IS THE FOOKING MANpic.twitter.com/HBGU3hpYHL
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 16, 2020
However, it’s been Murray’s rushing ability that has helped him average 29.3 fantasy points per game — the highest single-season mark from a QB in NFL history. Through nine weeks, Murray has racked up 87 carries for 604 yards and 10 scores, leaving plenty of defenders in the dust along the way. It’s rare to even see the opposition lay a finger on Murray; his 388 rushing yards before contact represent more total rushing yards than any QB other than Lamar Jackson can attest to having.
Fantasy’s clear overall QB1 is facing a Seahawks defense that ranks 29th in explosive pass-play rate allowed, yards per attempt allowed and pressure rate alike. Continue to treat Murray as the single-highest ranked player at the position.
2. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS QB PATRICK MAHOMES AT LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (KC -6.5, 56)
The 2020 version of Mahomes looks an awful lot like the same guy that won league MVP honors back in 2018:
- 2018: 92.8 PFF Passing Grade, 8.5 YPA, 77.5 adjusted cmp rate, 110.3 QB Rating
- 2019: 82.3 PFF Passing Grade, 8.0 YPA, 73.5% adjusted cmp rate, 96.5 QB Rating
- 2020: 89.6 PFF Passing Grade, 8.2 YPA, 74.2% adjusted cmp rate, 111.0 QB Rating
Through nine weeks, Mahomes has thrown 25 TDs and just one interception. The best QB alive has done so in style, as he’s checked down on just 3% of his attempts this season — the fifth-lowest mark among 35 QBs with at least 100 pass attempts.
Up next is a Raiders defense that “limited” the Chiefs to 32 points back in Week 5, but Mahomes still managed to function as fantasy’s QB2. Treat him as such in this likely shootout.
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