Happy Week 10!
Nine weeks of football are in the books. Madness. Bye weeks continue to flow in, and injuries have unfortunately continued to take a toll on offenses around the league. Focusing on the long-term view is usually the right move in most walks of life, but it’s also important in fantasy football land to not be afraid to attack each week as its own mini one-game season.
What follows are my Week 10 QB rankings. Note that these are not season-long lists or projections; I’m purely ranking based on who I believe will score more fantasy points this week with a focus on 1) What the QB has achieved in recent weeks, 2) Injuries or workload changes that could impact their production, and 3) This week’s matchup. The game’s opening spread and game total are listed in parentheses.
1. ARIZONA CARDINALS QB KYLER MURRAY VS. BUFFALO BILLS (ARI -2.5, 49)
Murray throws a b-e-a-utiful deep ball and routinely makes at least one or two plays through the air per week that shows off his immense arm talent. He’s improved in his second season in terms of PFF passing grade (61.1 in 2019 vs. 74 in 2020), yards per attempt (6.7 vs. 7.2) and adjusted completion rate (72.8% vs. 74.6%) while adding a full yard to his average target depth (7.9 vs. 8.9).
Still, Murray’s ascension to fantasy’s overall QB1 has mostly been due to his absolutely wild rushing production. The first pick of the 2019 draft is on pace to rack up 152 rush attempts, 1,086 yards and 16 (!!!) scores on the ground. Somehow only Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry and Todd Gurley have more fantasy points from purely rushing production than Murray this season.
The Bills largely made Russell Wilson look human the last time we saw them, but he still racked up the seventh-most points at the position on the week. The Cardinals run a unique offense that is second in situation neutral pace (Football Outsiders) and dead last in pre-snap motion. It’s probably bit early to crown Kliff Kingsbury as the next great offensive innovator, but clearly he’s created a system that gets the most out of his young QB. Murray deserves to be fired up as the top overall option at the position this week and beyond.
2. GREEN BAY PACKERS QB AARON RODGERS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (GB -13.5, 55)
Rodgers dudded against the Buccaneers in Week 6. He’s otherwise been nothing short of remarkable, regularly racking up high-end and turnover-free production regardless of the matchup:
- Week 1: QB3 in total fantasy points
- Week 2: QB16
- Week 3: QB7
- Week 4: QB3
- Week 6: QB27
- Week 7: QB8
- Week 8: QB4
- Week 9: QB5
The reality that there isn’t a single person on this planet, let alone in Jacksonville, that can guard Davante Adams further cements Rodgers as this week’s fantasy QB2 against the Jaguars’ 32nd-ranked scoring defense. Only the Seahawks and Falcons have allowed more fantasy points per game to the position; Rodgers’ biggest concern is building too big of a lead and not needing to keep the foot on the gas for 60 full minutes.