Fantasy News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Finding 2022’s Fantasy Football Breakout Wide Receiver: Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Chase Claypool (11) reacts after a first down against the Washington Football Team during the second quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

In this series of articles, we're looking at breakout potential for second- and third-year wide receivers in fantasy football for 2022, and this analysis focuses on the Pittsburgh SteelersChase Claypool. You can find articles for other wide receivers from the 2021 and 2020 NFL Draft classes here.

One of the best ways to determine the range of outcomes and the probability of success for fantasy players is by comparing them to similar historical players. In this analysis, I’ll compare Claypool to hundreds of receivers drafted since 2006 and project the likelihood of his breakout based on those who had the most similar size, draft position and second-year NFL metrics. 

METHODOLOGY

The matching methodology for this set of articles is similar to that for focusing on 2022 wide receiver and running back prospect comps, where I found the closest statistically comparable players using principal component analysis (PCA) and the euclidean distance between the players' components, and then gave each a “similarity” score based on percentile of distance. 

The metrics for PCA are draft position, weight, and a number of second-year stats: yards per route run (Yards Per), average depth of target (Avg Depth), PPR fantasy points per game (PPR Per Gm) and top-24 fantasy weeks (Top-24 Wks). 

Use promo code PFF40 to get 40% off your annual subscription.

CHASE CLAYPOOL COMPS

Subscribe to PFF+ to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

You've got the first pick with your finances. Western Southern Financial Group.
Sponsor

Fantasy Featured Tools

  • Sort projected player stats and fantasy points by position, week, and category.

    Available with

  • Available with

  • PFF's Fantasy Football Expected Points tool is primarily used for identifying potential over and undervalued players.

    Available with

  • Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity.

    Available with

  • PFF’s Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.

    Available with

Subscriptions

Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS.

$9.99 / mo
$79.99 / yr