What are the best FanDuel tournament and GPP strategies and players for optimal DFS lineups during the Divisional Round in the 2018 NFL season? This piece will run through each by offering up chalk plays, contrarian plays, and stack options — all from a tournament perspective.
You can find my favorite plays of the weekend in my Wild Card weekend DFS Locks article. So as not to regurgitate the same info about my top plays, this article will focus more on contrarian plays while briefly mentioning chalk options.
Chalk: Patrick Mahomes ($9,000). Mahomes will easily be the highest-owned quarterback on the slate. We project his ownership to be 45% with no other quarterback above 20%.
Contrarian: Tom Brady ($8,200). With so much ownership condensed on Mahomes, Andrew Luck, and Drew Brees, Brady projects to check in at under 3% owned. Brady has been better at home all season, where the Pats are 8-0. He averages more passing yards and touchdowns at home; heck, even his two rushing scores this year came at Gillette. This is a bet-on-talent at low ownership play.
Contrarian: Dak Prescott ($7,600). A top-five fantasy quarterback over the second half of the season, Prescott travels to LA to face a Rams team that the Cowboys could be forced into a shootout against. We expect Prescott to be under 5% owned.