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Here are two props that stand out ahead of Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season.
TE Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders: More than 47.5 receiving yards
Bowers suffered a PCL injury and a bone bruise in the Raiders' season opener against the New England Patriots. He attempted to play through the injury but was clearly not the player we saw last season, when he was an All-Pro as a rookie. He averaged just 40.6 receiving yards per game from Weeks 2-4.
Bowers is set to return to the field this week when the Raiders host the Jaguars, his first game action in five weeks. Head coach Pete Caroll said Bowers was “practicing at full speed” this week and, by all accounts, he appears close to 100%.
The Jaguars have struggled to defend tight ends in the first half of the season, ranking 24th in receiving yards allowed and 19th in receptions allowed to the position. Jacksonville has already allowed four tight ends (A.J. Barner, Travis Kelce, Jake Tonges and Colby Parkinson) to record at least 47 receiving yards in a game this season.
In terms of PFF coverage grade, the Jaguars' linebackers rank 21st, the safeties rank 18th and the cornerbacks rank 17th, so Bowers should be able to take advantage of the matchup, regardless of whom he faces in coverage.
Bowers recorded more than 47 receiving yards in 12 of 17 games as a rookie last season, so if he’s anywhere close to full health, this is a number to take advantage of in Week 9. This will likely be the lowest receiving yards prop number for Bowers across the remainder of the season.
QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills: More than 33.5 rushing yards
Allen is coming off a game against the Panthers where he carried the ball just three times for seven yards (both season lows), which isn’t a surprise, given that the Bills never trailed and ended up winning by 31 points. This week’s showdown with the Kansas City Chiefs figures to have a much different game script, if it’s anything like previous iterations of the duel.
In simple terms, Allen has shown that he will do everything to put the Bills on his back when facing off with their conference rivals. His ground-game usage, in particular, spikes in games against the Chiefs, whether it’s the regular season or the playoffs.
In nine career matchups with Kansas City, Allen has averaged 54.1 rushing yards on 10.4 rushing attempts per game. If we focus on more recent matchups, consider that Allen has averaged 55.3 rushing yards per game in the three matchups since January 2024, carrying the ball no fewer than 11 times in any of those outings.
Allen ranks third in the NFL in scramble yards (235) this season and will face a Chiefs defense that generates pressure at the fifth-highest rate, potentially leading to more scramble opportunities for the reigning MVP.
On paper, Bills-Chiefs is on the short list of the top regular-season matchups in the NFL this season. This is a crucial game for the Bills, who have dropped two out of their past three games and trail the Patriots for the AFC East lead. We have seen Allen do more damage on the ground in the biggest games for years now, and I expect this week to be no different.
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