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Monday Night Football Best Bets: Player props, spread bets and more

Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) runs past Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Sam Hubbard (94) during the first quarter at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Bet Browns RB Nick Chubb o81.5 rush yards vs Bengals: He's gone over in 6/7 games and now faces a Bengals defense sans D.J. Reader; Chubb's 0.64 rushing yards over expected currently ranks 7th in the NFL.

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Bet Bengals RB Samaje Perine o1.5 receptions: After passing on 60% of early downs in game-neutral situations in Weeks 1-5, Cincinnati is passing on 79% of such plays the past two weeks.

Last updated: Oct. 31, 3:45 p.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins

Here are PFF staff best bets in Cincinnati BengalsCleveland Browns, concluding Week 8 on “Monday Night Football:”

Ben Brown: Bengals WR Tee Higgins — Over 5.5 receptions

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -120

• Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase run a similar profile of routes and are very much interchangeable as parts in this offense: Tyler Boyd runs 86% of his routes from the slot, with Higgins and Chase next to each other at 21.5% and 25.6%. Their aDot is also almost the exact same, with Boyd dominating more underneath on this recent three-game stretch. Yet with the most difficult matchup against Greg Newsome II in the slot, expect Boyd to turn into an afterthought as Higgins hits at least a 25% target share. If this one stays close throughout, it will be more than enough volume for Higgins to go over this prop number.

Arjun Menon: Browns RB Nick Chubb — Over 81.5 rush yards (-110)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to 83.5

Tej Seth: Bengals RB Samaje Perine — O 1.5 receptions (-120)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -130
Perine has gone over this number in 5 out of his 7 games this season. After passing on 60% of early downs in game neutral situations the first five weeks of the season, Cincinnati is passing on 79% of such plays the past two weeks. The Bengals have gone from a +0.2% pass rate over expected to a +24.2% on early downs. Without Ja'Marr Chase, the Bengals will be looking for secondary receiving options and Perine could be used in the receiving game even more than he already he is.

PFF Greenline top play: Chubb — Over 7.5 receiving yards (-110)

Bet Gameplan: Playable to -125

PFF Greenline shows a 6.2% edge on Chubb logging at least 8 receiving yards for the fourth time in the past five games and 5th time overall this season. With not only Hunt's availability increasingly volatile but David Njoku already declared out, there should be ample opportunity for Chubb, who only needs one catch to cash. And with the Bengals' strength on defense in their secondary, it seems likely Cleveland will lean heavily on its best player every chance it gets.


PFF staff best bets are 67-55 entering MNF in Week 8.

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