Thursday Night Football Staff Picks: Player props, spread bets and more

Glendale, Arizona, USA; Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray (1) throws a touchdown pass to wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins (10) against Houston Texans defensive end Jonathan Greenard (52) in the first half at State Farm Stadium. Syndication Arizona Republic

Bet Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins — Over 5.5 receptions (+125): Arizona is missing Marquise Brown, increasing the onus on Hopkins to get out of the gate quickly in his 2022 debut.

• New Orleans will be without CB1 Marshon Lattimore for a second consecutive week. All three of the Bengals' top receivers secured at least six catches in Week 6.

Bet Saints TE Juwan Johnson — Over 25.5 receiving yards (-115): Arizona has allowed the most yards to opposing TEs, and Johnson should benefit from no Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry.

Last updated: Thursday Oct. 20, 4:00 p.m.

Estimated reading time: 2 mins

Here are PFF staff best bets to kick off Week 7 with the New Orleans Saints visiting the Arizona Cardinals on “Thursday Night Football:”

Ben Brown: Saints QB Andy Dalton — Under 0.5 Interceptions (-110)

• Dalton’s been at his best through three starts with the Saints — and there’s no reason to expect anything different Thursday night.  He’s had one interception through three games, and Dalton is averaging only one turnover-worthy play per game. He would have to hit 30 pass attempts to expect a turnover-worthy play, which is a high volume given the lack of offensive weapons the Saints have in this matchup. If we see the aDot drop off because his best pass-catching weapons are at the running back position, we should see less pass attempts being put in harm's way. 

Arjun Menon: Saints TE Juwan Johnson — Over 26.5 receiving yards (-115; play to 28.5)

• The Cardinals have been an absolute sieve when it comes to giving up receiving yards to tight ends. They’ve allowed the most yards to tight ends in 2022, and almost every tight end with a receiving yard prop has gone over against the Cardinals. Without Michael Thomas or Jarvis Landry, there should be targets open for Johnson, who has gone over his receiving yards total in 2/3 games with Andy Dalton at the helm.

PFF Forecast: Cardinals WR DeAndre Hopkins — Over 5.5 receptions (+125)

• In his 2022 debut following a six-game PED suspension, Nuk won't have the luxury of easing back into a Cardinals offense that lost Marquise Brown to a knee injury in Week 6 and has a PFF passing grade of 62 (No. 23 in the NFL). Hopkins has at least 6 catches in 14 of 26 games with the Cardinals, who won't have to contend with Marshon Lattimore. In their top cornerback's absence in Week 6, the Saints allowed each of the Bengals' top 3 receivers to reach this number.

PFF staff best bets are 54-41 overall entering Week 7.

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