With the sports betting industry evolving and gaining popularity, so is the way you can make NFL wagers. The days of just betting on sides and totals are over.
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay: you add multiple legs that must win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points like 6, 6.5 or 7 in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow
• Never Cross over 0
• Tease through key numbers 3 and 7
• Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or less.
WEEK 14 TEASER BETS
• Backing Derek Carr on the road has not been profitable. In his career as a road favorite, he is only 5-12-1 ATS, but that improves to 8-10 straight-up.
• I always enjoy backing a home dog in prime time, but it seems there is just too much going against the Rams this week. It is a short week, but as of Wednesday night, we still have no idea who the Rams' starter will be — Matthew Stafford is most likely out for the remainder of the season and John Wofford, leaving newly acquired Baker Mayfield in line to start.
• The Rams acquired Mayfield off waivers Tuesday afternoon, giving him only two days to learn the offense and be ready to lead the Rams on the field. Even if McVay simplifies everything, the former No. 1 overall pick hasn't exactly been great in 2022. Of 33 qualified Quarterbacks, Baker Mayfield ranks dead last in success rate (35.1%) and EPA per play (-.178).
• Teasing the Raiders to -.5 means we just need a straight-up victory.
• Last season, Huntley started five games for the Ravens, going 1-4. Despite losing four of his five starts, Huntley and the Ravens never lost by more than three points and Huntley earned two PFF grades above 73.0. The third-year QB can keep the Ravens competitive and has the potential to lead the Baltimore Ravens to an outright win.
• I think the line in this game is an overreaction, especially with the Steelers' defense being at the bottom of the league in terms of EPA allowed per play and success rate.
• The New England Patriots have one of the best defenses in the league this season, and it has single-handedly kept them in some close ball games. But their offense has been lousy. QB Mac Jones has taken a step back this season, his 59.1 PFF grade almost 20 points lower than his mark last season.
• Defensively, the Patriots rank first league-wide in EPA allowed play and No. 2 in success rate. On top of that, opponents are only scoring points on just 31.1% of their drives, fourth-best among defenses in the NFL.
• Offensively, the Patriots have only topped 300 yards just once in the last six games, while Jones ranks 28 out of 33 QBs in success Rate.
• This game has the highest total on this week's slate at 52.5. We usually try not to tease games with higher totals because the variance becomes more unpredictable, but taking the Vikings at +8.5 is too hard to pass up.
• The Lions' offense has been hot as of late. Over the past four weeks, Detroit has scored on 5.8% of the drives, which is second-best only behind the Kansas City Chiefs. They have also converted a league-high 73.9% of their red-zone possessions to touchdowns, which is why Jamaal Williams leads the league in rushing TDs.
• While the Lions offense has been great, their defense has been equally bad, allowing opponents to score on 43.1% of their drives. That mark is the second worst in the NFL — only the Atlanta Falcons have been worse.
Favorite 2-team 6pt teasers for Week 14
- Raiders from -6.5 to -.5
- Vikings from +2.5 to +8.5
- Raiders -.5 / Vikings +8.5 (-120)