Betting News & Analysis

NFL Week 12 Same-Game Parlays: Back the Cincinnati Bengals to get the better of the Steelers

2T5PX3K Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) sprints down the field during an NFL football game against the Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Nov. 5, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)

Ja'Marr Chase the big-play artist: The Bengals star has been one of the league's best wide receivers at separating deep and creating explosive plays on non-deep passes.

• A good matchup for the reeling Bengals: The Steelers have bled explosive plays this season, giving up the fourth-highest explosive pass play rate on the season, making this a sneaky good spot for Chase to rip off some huge plays.

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Estimated reading time: 2 minutes

Rashid Shaheed dominates in the WR2 role en route to a New Orleans Saints win

• Shaheed has been dominant in every aspect of play, but he has become known as big play waiting to happen, earning top-tier PFF grades as a deep threat and after the catch.

• The Saints should be throwing often — and with success — against a pass-funnel Falcons team that is far better defending the run than the pass.

With Michael Thomas out, Shaheed should step into an every-down role, where he will not only be a deep threat but can accumulate targets as a typical WR2 would.

PointsBet SGP Build: 50-1

Jake Browning leans on Ja’Marr Chase en route to Cincinnati Bengals win

Little needs to be said about Chase, who is dominant in most receiving categories, especially as a big-play artist.

The Bengals star has been one of the league's best wide receivers at separating deep and creating explosive plays on non-deep passes.

The Steelers have played man coverage at a top-five rate in the NFL, which figures to be a problem against Chase. As we’ve studied at PFF, man coverage reflects the talent on the field, and targets are far more predictable in man coverage than zone. The Steelers will likely be trotting out Patrick Peterson and his 59.4 PFF grade to guard Chase, one of the biggest mismatches of the week.

Further, the Steelers have bled explosive plays this season, giving up the fourth-highest explosive pass play rate on the season, making this a sneaky good spot for Chase to rip off some huge plays to lead Browning and the passing attack.

PointsBet SGP Build: 40-1

Khalil Shakir continues his emergence in a favorable matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles

Khalil Shakir has been an absolute revelation for the Bills. He has been one of the NFL's best receivers post-throw while dominating in terms of separation. As a result, Shakir has begun to emerge as the clear WR3 and has played 70% of the snaps over the last three weeks.

Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled to prevent separation all season, ranking second-worst in the NFL in that regard.

With the markets still building in a sample of Shakir as a part-time player, there is certainly value to be had with Shakir, considering his talent and the favorable matchup.

PointsBet SGP Build: 28-1
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