NFL Week 15 is here, and it's time to take advantage of some high-value player props.
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My picks went 1-2 last week. Devonta Freeman finished with more than 12.5 carries despite the Baltimore Ravens passing more than usual. Darrel Williams failed to hit 48.5 yards on offense because the Kansas City Chiefs offense was dominating too much, as it turned to Derrick Gore in the fourth quarter, giving the team's top two running backs a rest. Noah Fant also finished with more than 31.5 receiving yards, as Denver predictably spent most of the day running the football. When the Broncos did throw, it was often to their tight ends, leading to bad statistical outputs for all three wide receivers. Fant made three short catches that would have been fine but also had a 32-yard pass that put him over his receiving yardage prop.
This article's record now stands at 19-17 on the season.
Leverage PFF's player props tool to find the most valuable bets to make in Week 15.
WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Tennessee Titans: Under 35.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Titans wide receiver has finished with less than 35 receiving yards in all but two games this season, which is a decent reason to take the under on his receiving yardage prop this week. There are also a few reasons why Westbrook-Ikhine's production could decrease.
Julio Jones returned last week and only played in half of Tennessee's offensive snaps, but that was enough to decrease Westbrook-Ikhine’s snap share from 83% in Week 12 to 73% in Week 14. Jones isn’t on the injury report this week and will likely play more often, which should lead to Westbrook-Ikhine’s playing time decreasing even further.
The Titans are expected to win this game, which should lead to a consistent ground attack. When they do pass, Jones should have the best matchups among Tennessee's receivers against Pittsburgh's secondary. Joe Haden has missed the last few weeks, but he’s practiced on a limited basis this week and could return. Westbrook-Ikhine is currently expected to have an average matchup, but it could get worse if Haden returns to the lineup. All this adds up to Westbrook-Ikhine largely being a non-factor in the game.
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