Betting News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

Jahnke: Best NFL Week 14 player prop bets

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Devonta Freeman (33) spikes the ball after scoring a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second quarter at Heinz Field. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 14 is here, and it's time to take advantage of some high-value player props. 


Click here for more PFF tools:

Rankings & ProjectionsWR/CB Matchup ChartNFL & NCAA Betting DashboardsNFL Player Props toolNFL & NCAA Power Rankings


My month of good luck came to an end last week, as this article's plays went 0-3. The Las Vegas RaidersJalen Richard landed on the COVID-19 list Sunday morning, and Kenyan Drake suffered an injury early in their game. This turned Josh Jacobs into an every-down back, allowing him to catch several more passes than anticipated. The San Francisco 49ers surprisingly struggled against the Seattle Seahawks, which enabled Jimmy Garoppolo to surpass his 29.5 pass attempt prop with 30. The Cincinnati Bengals‘ game script was also unexpected, leading to more Tyler Boyd targets than anticipated.

This article's record now stands at 18-15 on the season.

Leverage PFF's player props tool to find the most valuable bets to make in Week 14.

Tackle Lifes financial Challenges. Western Southern Financial Group.
Sponsor

RB Devonta Freeman, Baltimore Ravens: Over 12.5 carries (+101)

The Ravens started the season with all three of their running backs out for the year, leaving a bunch of free agents to take over. Freeman joined the active roster in Week 2 and worked his way to a starting role in Week 7. He’s played at least 40 offensive snaps in every game since Baltimore's Week 8 bye while receiving at least 14 carries in every game after the team released Le’Veon Bell post-Week 10. Both Freeman and Latavius Murray are healthy, but all signs point toward Freeman continuing to receive the majority of the work.

The Ravens' matchup with the Cleveland Browns is expected to be close. Luckily, game script doesn't change their skill players' fantasy value much. Baltimore runs less often than most teams when winning and passes less often than most teams when losing. As long as Freeman stays healthy and Murray doesn’t get a hot hand, Freeman should receive closer to 15 carries than 12.

PFF's new Best Bets Tool allows you to take advantage of the best prop and game betting opportunities for each NFL slate during the 2021 season.

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Betting Featured Tools

  • PFF's Best Bets Tool reveals the bets PFF's data and algorithms give the biggest edge to within spread, total, player prop, and moneyline markets.

    Available with

    Elite
  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NFL game.

    Available with

    Elite
  • PFF's Player Props Tool reveals betting opportunities within player prop markets.

    Available with

    Elite
  • Power Rankings are PFF’s NFL power ratings based on weekly player grades in each facet of play. These power rankings are adjusted based on coach, quarterback and the market each season.

    Available with

    Edge
  • PFF predictions and real time spread, moneyline and over/under lines for each NCAA game.

    Available with

    Elite CFB Prem Stats+
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr
College Subscriptions

Unlock College Player Grades and Preview Magazine

$7.99 / mo
$27.99 / yr

Unlock NCAA Premium Stats & PFF Greenline NCAA

$29.99 / mo
$119.99 / yr