- The Colts are on the rise: Daniel Jones looked sharp in his debut, operating behind a dominant offensive line that kept Miami’s front in check. Tight end Tyler Warren stole the spotlight, earning a 90.4 PFF grade, the highest among all tight ends in Week 1.
- The Bills have an easy road ahead: The Bills head to New Jersey in Week 2 before settling in for three straight home games. They get the front-end advantage of Thursday Night Football in Week 3, hosting the Dolphins on a short week, and they’ll benefit from the extended rest heading into a Week 4 matchup with the Saints. Don’t be surprised if Buffalo is 5–0 and 3–0 in the division before we know it.
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Every week of the NFL season delivers new market signals, and few tools are sharper than power ratings for cutting through the noise. PFF’s updated ratings don’t just show who’s playing well — they reveal where perception and reality may be drifting apart.
In this article, we highlight the three teams that gained the most ground after last week’s results. We’ll also examine schedule strength over the next four weeks, spotlighting the softest and toughest upcoming slates, a crucial lens for identifying potential overreactions in lines, totals and futures. The goal: give bettors a forward-looking edge on who's climbing, who's facing headwinds and where opportunity may still be hiding.
| Team | Point Spread Rating Points | Point Spread Rating QB | Strength of Schedule To Date | Strength of Schedule Remaining |
| ARZ | -0.16 | 4 | 32 | 18 |
| ATL | -1.81 | 1.5 | 15 | 28 |
| BLT | 5.77 | 6.5 | 3 | 16 |
| BUF | 5.60 | 6.5 | 1 | 31 |
| CAR | -5.04 | 2 | 23 | 26 |
| CHI | -0.58 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| CIN | 1.59 | 6 | 31 | 11 |
| CLV | -4.78 | 1.5 | 8 | 8 |
| DAL | -1.54 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| DEN | 1.70 | 2 | 30 | 10 |
| DET | 3.06 | 3.5 | 6 | 2 |
| GB | 4.87 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| HST | 0.20 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| IND | -0.98 | 0 | 20 | 19 |
| JAX | -1.24 | 4.5 | 28 | 20 |
| KC | 3.89 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| LA | 2.41 | 5 | 14 | 21 |
| LAC | 2.34 | 6 | 4 | 17 |
| LV | -1.43 | 3.5 | 24 | 14 |
| MIA | -2.60 | 3 | 25 | 22 |
| MIN | 1.74 | 1.5 | 18 | 1 |
| NE | -3.00 | 3 | 26 | 30 |
| NO | -7.85 | 0.5 | 17 | 29 |
| NYG | -4.53 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| NYJ | -4.40 | 2.5 | 16 | 25 |
| PHI | 5.88 | 4 | 21 | 3 |
| PIT | 0.06 | 3 | 29 | 6 |
| SEA | -1.37 | 3 | 11 | 23 |
| SF | 1.96 | 3.5 | 19 | 32 |
| TB | 0.83 | 3.5 | 22 | 27 |
| TEN | -5.38 | 1.5 | 13 | 24 |
| WAS | 2.70 | 3.5 | 27 | 7 |
Top 3 Risers
Indianapolis Colts +1.3
No surprise to see the Colts atop the list after a commanding 33–8 win over the Dolphins. Daniel Jones looked sharp in his debut, operating behind a dominant offensive line that kept Miami’s front in check. Tight end Tyler Warren stole the spotlight, earning a 90.4 PFF grade, the highest among all tight ends in Week 1.
Los Angeles Chargers +1.1
The Chargers made the most of their home-away-from-home debut in Brazil. Justin Herbert earned an 84.0 PFF grade—fifth-best among quarterbacks in Week 1—throwing for 318 yards and three touchdowns, while adding 54 rushing yards on eight carries. That’s a mark he topped just once last season, as he played through a lingering ankle injury. Keenan Allen’s return made an immediate impact, as the veteran pass-catcher led the team in both receptions (7) and targets (10).
Green Bay Packers +0.9
The Packers jump to No. 4 in our power ratings after a 14-point win over last year’s NFC North champs. Micah Parsons made the most of his limited snaps, notching two pressures and his first sack as a Packer. Green Bay’s run defense was dominant, holding opponents to just 2.1 yards per carry. They’ll face a short week, hosting Washington on Thursday Night Football in Week 2.
Hardest Upcoming Schedules
Cleveland Browns (Avg Opp PR of 3.9)
W2: @BLT (5.7) | W3: GB (4.9) | W4: @DET (3.1) | W5: MIN (1.7)
Schedule notes: The Week 3 matchup against Green Bay comes with a rest disadvantage, as the Packers will be coming off Thursday Night Football. Week 5 presents a unique travel challenge as well, as the Vikings will be playing an international game after spending the prior week overseas following their Week 4 game in Ireland.
Philadelphia Eagles (Avg Opp PR of 2.2)
W2: @KC (3.9) | W3: LA (2.4) | W4: @TB (.8) | W5: DEN (1.7)
Schedule notes: The Rams face a tough spot in Week 3, traveling West to East for a 1:00 p.m. kickoff on the back end of a two-game road swing.
Denver Broncos (Avg Opp PR of 2.2)
W2: @IND (-1) | W3: @LAC (2.3) | W4: CIN (1.6) | W5: @PHI (5.9)
Schedule notes: Three of the Broncos’ next four games are on the road, including a slight rest disadvantage in Philadelphia in Week 3, as they’ll be coming off Monday Night Football with one fewer day of prep.
Easiest Upcoming Schedules
Buffalo Bills (Avg Opp PR of -4.5)
W2: @NYJ (-4.4) | W3: MIA (-2.6) | W4: NO (-7.9) | W5: NE (-3)
Schedule notes: The Bills head to New Jersey in Week 2 before settling in for three straight home games. They get the front-end advantage of Thursday Night Football in Week 3, hosting the Dolphins on a short week, and they’ll benefit from the extended rest heading into a Week 4 matchup with the Saints. Don’t be surprised if Buffalo is 5–0 and 3–0 in the division before we know it.
Arizona Cardinals (Avg Opp PR of -2.5)
W2: CAR (-5) | W3: @SF (2) | W4: SEA (-1.4) | W5: TEN (-5.4)
Schedule notes: This week brings a slight edge with the Panthers traveling in from the East Coast, and Week 5 offers a rest advantage following a Thursday Night Football matchup against the Seahawks. With three of their next four games at home, the schedule sets up well for a strong run.
Carolina Panthers (Avg Opp PR of -1.9)
W2: @ARZ (-.2) | W3: ATL (-1.8) | W4: @NE (-3) | W5: MIA (-2.6)
Schedule notes: Aside from a slight travel disadvantage heading west this week, there’s little else of note in their schedule over the next four games.
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