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Week 10 is here, and PFF’s analysts have locked in their favorite bets of the week, powered by the PFF Player Prop Tool.
The tool delivers real-time projections, matchup data, hit rates and the best available odds all in one place. It’s the same level of insight trusted by all 32 NFL teams, now at your fingertips.
Here are our analysts' favorite bets for Week 10.
Trevor Sikkema (5-4)
Caleb Williams, Chicago Bears: Over 3.5 rush attempts (-165 BetMGM)
It’s minus money for a reason, but the data supports the over based on Williams’ playing style. He’s hit this mark in eight of his past 10 games, including five carries for 53 yards last week. The Bears know that aspect of his game is a key source of confidence for him.
Dalton Wasserman (5-4)
QB Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: Over 20.5 completions (-114 Fanduel)
Rodgers faces a Los Angeles Chargers defense that runs zone coverage at the second-highest rate in the NFL. He’s completed 72.6% of his passes against zone this season, a top-eight mark among starting quarterbacks. One reason for that efficiency is his 4.9-yard average depth of target against zone, the lowest among all qualified quarterbacks. Rodgers’ conservative approach against this style of defense should lead to a relatively high completion total, especially with Pittsburgh increasing its pass rate in recent weeks.
Ben Linsey (7-2)
WR Rome Odunze, Chicago Bears: Over 52.5 receiving yards (-110 BetMGM)
Odunze is coming off a game in which he wasn’t needed for Chicago to post 40-plus points against Cincinnati, but this matchup projects more like the prior week, when he recorded seven catches for 114 yards against Baltimore. The Giants lead the NFL in man-coverage rate on pass plays with a cornerback group that’s banged up and ranks sixth-worst in advanced coverage grade. Odunze has been the Bears’ most productive wide receiver against man coverage, averaging 2.51 yards per route run.
Mason Cameron (2-6-1)
QB Drake Maye, New England Patriots: Over 5.5 rush attempts (-125 BetMGM)
Drake Maye has let his athleticism shine in Year 2. He’s a threat to pull the ball down and run on any dropback, leading all quarterbacks in rushing attempts (59) this season and surpassing this mark in six of his nine starts. In this matchup, the Buccaneers profile as a solid run-defense unit that funnels plays toward the passing game — an area where Maye can create with his legs.
Combined with Tampa Bay’s top-10 pressure rate, the conditions point to Maye doing damage on the ground once again.
Max Chadwick (3-5-1)
WR Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams: Over 4.5 receptions (-130 FanDuel)
Adams has gone over this number in each of his past two games and draws a favorable matchup this week against a struggling 49ers secondary. San Francisco ranks seventh worst in the NFL in coverage grade (49.9), and none of its cornerbacks are among the top 65 in PFF grade this season.
Gordon McGuinness (2-6-1)
RB Bam Knight, Arizona Cardinals: Under 35.5 rush yards (-105 Fanatics)
Knight has gone under this total in all but one game this season, and Emari Demercado out-carried him 14 to nine last week. The Seahawks present resistance against this line in two ways: they rank fifth in PFF run-defense grade this season, and they enter this matchup as 6.5-point favorites. If the game script holds, several factors work against Knight going over this total.
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