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RB Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have shown all season that they can put up points on inferior opponents, and they enter the week as nearly two-touchdown favorites against Tennessee. Since Seattle’s bye, Kenneth Walker has seen more carries than Zach Charbonnet inside the 10-yard line, and head coach Mike Macdonald said this week that Walker is “earning more opportunities to get the ball.”
In a matchup where Seattle projects to score often — and with the Titans unlikely to sustain long drives — this is a favorable price for Walker to find the end zone.
RB Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles
Entering Week 12, Barkley ranks ninth among qualifying running backs in yards before contact per attempt. And that early-yardage efficiency has been one of the Eagles’ most stable run-game levers.
Dallas presents one of the most favorable matchups he’ll see all year. The Cowboys rank 29th in average yards allowed before contact to running backs and carry a 43.2 team run-defense grade through 11 weeks, which puts them 30th among 32 teams. Their defensive front as a unit sits 29th in that same metric.
Put together, it’s the exact kind of defensive profile Barkley has historically exploited. If Philadelphia stays ahead of the sticks early, this matchup gives him a real runway to do it again.
RB Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City keeps a defined short-yardage role for Hunt, and he’s been one of the league’s most reliable finishers in it. He’s converted 24 of his 29 rushes when needing two yards or fewer, and he’s handled 10 of the Chiefs’ 11 carries inside the 5-yard line — punching in six touchdowns on those attempts.
That usage gives him one of the cleanest goal-line pathways on the slate. He’s found the end zone in five of his last 10 games, and he’s scored in eight of his last 10 against defenses with similar statistical profiles, making him a strong bet to cash another high-leverage role this week.
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