As I’ve written about many times before here at PFF, I find it a useful exercise to create and remember specific iterations of rookie rankings for dynasty leagues: pre-combine/pro days, post-combine/pro days, and post-NFL draft. While rookie rankings should be fluid as more and more information comes to light, taking note of your (and the fantasy community’s) evolving opinion of a player throughout the process can help you to recognize potential inefficiencies in ADP when it comes time for real rookie drafts.
With that in mind, I took a look at the current top 25 rookies in terms of ADP on Dynasty League Football, and compared their April ADPs to their February ones to see what players have gained and lost the most perceived value during the t-shirt-and-shorts portion of the evaluation process. Below is a chart of those 25 players, sorted based on their two-month change in ADP (risers at the top, fallers at the bottom).
Player | April | February | Change |
Chris Godwin | 116.5 | 181.8 | 65.3 |
Jeremy McNichols | 149.5 | 177.7 | 28.2 |
Christian McCaffrey | 36.3 | 64.3 | 28.0 |
Bucky Hodges | 179.0 | 206.8 | 27.8 |
Evan Engram | 100.2 | 127.0 | 26.8 |
D'Onta Foreman | 92.8 | 108.3 | 15.5 |
Joe Mixon | 46.3 | 60.0 | 13.7 |
Alvin Kamara | 92.0 | 104.5 | 12.5 |
O.J. Howard | 83.7 | 95.2 | 11.5 |
James Conner | 181.8 | 190.7 | 8.8 |
David Njoku | 111.7 | 116.7 | 5.0 |
Curtis Samuel | 126.5 | 131.0 | 4.5 |
Taywan Taylor | 180.2 | 184.3 | 4.2 |
Corey Davis | 27.8 | 30.0 | 2.2 |
Leonard Fournette | 24.2 | 25.3 | 1.2 |
Cooper Kupp | 155.8 | 154.7 | -1.2 |
Carlos Henderson | 124.5 | 121.0 | -3.5 |
Zay Jones | 136.5 | 133.0 | -3.5 |
John Ross | 76.0 | 70.0 | -6.0 |
Mike Williams | 43.3 | 36.3 | -7.0 |
Dalvin Cook | 31.7 | 20.7 | -11.0 |
JuJu Smith-Schuster | 73.7 | 62.3 | -11.3 |
Samaje Perine | 106.2 | 94.7 | -11.5 |
Kareem Hunt | 142.2 | 122.0 | -20.2 |
Jamaal Williams | 170.8 | 146.7 | -24.2 |
KD Cannon | 148.7 | 116.0 | -32.7 |