- Miles Sanders set to thrive: The Philadelphia Eagles RB is fully healthy and ready to take advantage of the team's run-blocking advantage over the Kansas City Chiefs‘ front seven.
- Kadarius Toney could be Chiefs most productive WR: The explosive receiver could generate some serious points for DFS managers due to his ability to create yards after the catch.
Estimated reading time: 11 minutes
RB Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles ($7,800 Flex/$11,700 Captain on DraftKings)
- Philadelphia is implied to score 26.0 points as -1.5-point Super Bowl LVII favorites at BetMGM.
- PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart gives Philadelphia a dominant 35.0% run-blocking matchup advantage rating.
- Kansas City is allowing a 41.0% touchdown-conversion rate on opponent rushing attempts inside Kansas City’s five-yard line.
- Philadelphia is converting 47.0% of rushing attempts inside the opponent’s five-yard line.
- Sanders’ DraftKings salaries are both the sixth-highest overall.
- Sanders offers reasonable affordability, which will be exploited by sharp players. The masses may be fearful of his recently reduced workload.
- The Penn State product (73.6 PFF offense grade) appeared on the Week 17 and Week 18 injury reports due to a knee injury. The team has since significantly reduced Sanders’ second-half playing time whenever possible in an effort to preserve his health for Super Bowl LVII.
- The table below shows the Philadelphia backfield’s second-half usage rates in Weeks 1-16 and Week 17-NFC Conference Championship (NFCCC).
|Philadelphia Eagles 2nd-Half RB Usage||Snaps: Weeks 1-16||Snaps: Weeks 17-NFCCC||Rush Att.: Weeks 1-16||Rush Att.: Weeks 17-NFCCC||Rec. Snaps: Weeks 1-16||Rec. Snaps: Weeks 17-NFCCC|
- Sanders’ 137 second-half rushing attempts in Weeks 1-16 ranked third among NFL running backs. His drop in usage is substantial.
- With two weeks to receive treatment, Sanders should be his healthiest since Week 16. Expect a return to his high-volume, highly efficient rushing productivity.
- The table below ranks (in parentheses) Sanders’ 2022-2023 rushing data among 45 NFL running backs with at least 100 rushing attempts.
|NFL RB Rushing Data||PFF Rushing Grade||Yards per Rush Att.||Missed Tackles Forced per Rush Att.||Yards After Contact per Rush Att.||Explosive 10+-Yard Rushing Plays|
|Miles Sanders||81.6 (No. 20)||4.9 (No. 12)||0.18 (T-No. 22)||3.0 (No. 22)||39 (No. 3)|
- Sanders’ 34 regular-season explosive rushing plays ranked No. 4 among qualifying running backs.
- Sanders is an inefficient passing-game asset, but his 77.8% catch rate offers points-per-reception scoring potential.
- Among NFL front-seven defenders with at least 100 run-defense snaps, Kansas City has just three players who rank inside the top 32 at their respective position in run-stop rate — linebacker Nick Bolton (8.0% run-stop rate, tied for No. 26 among 95 qualifying linebackers), edge rusher Carlos Dunlap (9.1% run-stop rate, No. 13 among 122 qualifying edge rushers) and defensive tackle Khalen Saunders (8.8% run-stop rate, tied for No. 22 among 142 qualifying defensive tackles).
- The table below ranks in parentheses Kansas City’s run-defense data among NFL teams.
|NFL Team Run-Defense Data||PFF Run-Defense Grade||Stops||Tackles For No Gain or Loss||Missed Tackles||Avg. Depth of Tackle||Positively Graded Run Play %||Negatively Graded Run Play %|
|Kansas City||62.4 (No. 18)||213 (No. 30)||59 (No. 29)||68 (No. 14)||4.37 (No. 23)||57.9% (No. 25)||56.4% (No. 11)|