News & Analysis

Premium Content Sign Up

NFL Week 4 fantasy football start 'em or sit 'em

For fantasy managers sitting at 1-2 or 0-3 heading into Week 4, this week is critical when it comes to start/sit decisions. More injuries are upon us, and with Covid-19 rearing its ugly head to impact fantasy football, we need to be spot on. Many rosters won’t be at 100%, so we need to squeak out wins however we can.

Monkey Knife Fight. Official Fantasy Sponsor of PFF. Join to receive a free EDGE subscription.
Sponsor

I'm here to be your guide through weekly sit/start questions across traditional 10- and 12-team leagues, along with deeper formats.

So, without further ado, get ready for the fourth edition of the 2020 PFF fantasy football start ‘em or sit ‘em. 

QUARTERBACKS

Start: Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

Over the first three weeks, Jared Goff has graded as PFF’s No. 3 overall quarterback (90.3) behind only Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson. His real-life football success has translated to fantasy stats, as he's been the QB11 over that time span, averaging just under 20 fantasy points per game.

He draws the New York Giants defense in Week 4, which on paper doesn’t look like a great matchup — they've allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to the quarterback position. 

But context matters here, and the last two quarterbacks they faced (Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Mullens) are a considerable step down in talent from Goff. And even so, Trubisky threw two touchdown passes against the Giants and Mullens threw for 343 passing yards, which ranked third-highest in Week 3. 

The Giants defense also ranks 31st in explosive pass percentage allowed (19.6%), 26th in PFF coverage grade (60.4) and 24th in passing yards per attempt (7.9). 

The Rams rank first in the NFL rushing attempts, so I understand the hesitation with Goff from a volume perspective. But even with the focus on the run game, Goff is still throwing 30 times per game — that's clearly enough because he hasn’t amassed fewer than 250 yards yet this year. 

Goff is also extremely efficient at 9.6 yards per attempt — No. 1 in the NFL  — and that should continue against a bad Giants defense that allowed 9.5 yards per attempt to Mullens. 

Subscribe to PFF Edge to continue reading

Already have a subscription? Sign In

Monkey Knife Fight. Official Fantasy Sponsor of PFF. Join to receive a free EDGE subscription.
Sponsor

Fantasy Featured Tools

  • Sort projected player stats and fantasy points by position, week, and category.

    Available with

    Edge
  • Research past fantasy performance with sortable player stats including PFF-exclusives like aDOT and fantasy points per opportunity.

    Available with

    Edge
  • Available with

    Edge
  • PFF’s Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position.

    Available with

    Edge
  • Create winning NFL Daily Fantasy Sports with PFF’s DFS Lineup Optimizer. Set custom exposures and team stacks to optimize lineups effectively before exporting and uploading the unique lineups to DraftKings, FanDuel or Yahoo DFS.

    Available with

    Elite
Pro Subscriptions

Unlock NFL Player Grades, Fantasy & NFL Draft

$9.99 / mo
$39.99 / yr

Unlock Premium Stats, PFF Greenline & DFS

$34.99 / mo
$199.99 / yr