For fantasy managers sitting at 1-2 or 0-3 heading into Week 4, this week is critical when it comes to start/sit decisions. More injuries are upon us, and with Covid-19 rearing its ugly head to impact fantasy football, we need to be spot on. Many rosters won’t be at 100%, so we need to squeak out wins however we can.
I'm here to be your guide through weekly sit/start questions across traditional 10- and 12-team leagues, along with deeper formats.
So, without further ado, get ready for the fourth edition of the 2020 PFF fantasy football start ‘em or sit ‘em.
Start: Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams
Over the first three weeks, Jared Goff has graded as PFF’s No. 3 overall quarterback (90.3) behind only Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson. His real-life football success has translated to fantasy stats, as he's been the QB11 over that time span, averaging just under 20 fantasy points per game.
He draws the New York Giants defense in Week 4, which on paper doesn’t look like a great matchup — they've allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points to the quarterback position.
But context matters here, and the last two quarterbacks they faced (Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Mullens) are a considerable step down in talent from Goff. And even so, Trubisky threw two touchdown passes against the Giants and Mullens threw for 343 passing yards, which ranked third-highest in Week 3.
The Giants defense also ranks 31st in explosive pass percentage allowed (19.6%), 26th in PFF coverage grade (60.4) and 24th in passing yards per attempt (7.9).
The Rams rank first in the NFL rushing attempts, so I understand the hesitation with Goff from a volume perspective. But even with the focus on the run game, Goff is still throwing 30 times per game — that's clearly enough because he hasn’t amassed fewer than 250 yards yet this year.
Goff is also extremely efficient at 9.6 yards per attempt — No. 1 in the NFL — and that should continue against a bad Giants defense that allowed 9.5 yards per attempt to Mullens.