Football is a game of matchups. There is a saying in fantasy football to “start your studs,” but we really want to rely on the players who will score the most fantasy points. Talent plays a big factor in which players score the most, but matchups also heavily contribute.
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Digging deep into the PFF database, here are four cases where the combination of how the two teams play or use their players will lead to bigger games by the offenses involved in Week 10.
The return of Russell Wilson
Wilson had a miraculous recovery from his finger injury and returns after missing the last four weeks. He was playing at an MVP level before the injury and still has the second-best PFF pass grade in the league. His success in real life was matched by his fantasy prowess, where he ranked among the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks in three of the four games he completed.
Wilson has particularly excelled on deep passes and when there’s no pressure on him. He’s one of four quarterbacks to complete at least half of his deep passes and leads the league in yards per attempt when kept clean at 11.0.
Green Bay’s defense has been above average both at preventing teams from scoring and from stopping quarterbacks from accumulating fantasy points, but that shouldn’t deter anyone from starting Wilson this week. The Packers have gotten lucky on a number of deep throws, with 18 deep targets either dropped by the receiver or overthrown — both marks are the most in the league. They are around league average at forcing incompletions on deep passes, and their pass rush has only been average this year.
The green and gold are still missing Jaire Alexander and Za’Darius Smith, while Seattle’s offense could be at full strength. This is a recipe for a return to form for Wilson.
J.D. McKissic will have the volume to make him a starter
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