Every fantasy football draft presents both inherently good and bad value. Certain players may be overhyped for a variety of reasons, such as a new coaching staff, a new situation (team), usage rates or market shares expected to increase. Deciphering which players are slated to return good value at their average draft positions (ADPs) and those who are being overdrafted is a major part of preparing for a successful fantasy football draft (and season).
I've highlighted nine players who should be avoided at or near their ADPs in 2020 fantasy football drafts.
All ADP info is sourced from BestBall10s drafts dating back to the beginning of August.
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen | ADP: 96.20 (QB7)
Allen proved to be a fantastic option last season at the quarterback spot, ranking sixth among all quarterbacks in scoring (299.6) and points per dropback (0.55). The issue with Allen’s production was that a fair amount of it came from his ability to rush the football, and it took a lot of volume to get there. Allen ranked second in rushing attempts (109), third in rushing yards (510), first in rushing touchdowns (nine), second in red-zone rushing attempts (22) and fourth in rushing attempts inside the 5-yard line (five). Allen was the only quarterback inside of the top 29 in scoring without a single 300-yard passing game during the entire 2019 season.
It’s fair to expect Allen’s rushing statistics to regress, most notable his insanely high number of rushing touchdowns. While the Bills would be wise to continue utilizing Allen’s legs, the addition of rookie running back Zack Moss could prove to be a detriment to Allen’s numbers in the red zone.